Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi VS Flavio Cobolli 2025-05-29

The Italian showdown we've all been waiting for - Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli at the 2025 Roland Garros tournament. Because what's more exciting than watching two guys with similar-sounding names hit a ball back and forth on a clay court?

But seriously, folks, this is a great matchup. Arnaldi, ranked 36th in the world, is coming off a thrilling comeback win against Felix Auger-Aliassime, where he battled back from two sets down to take the match 5-7, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-2. That's like coming back from a 20-point deficit in a basketball game - it's a feat worthy of a standing ovation.

On the other hand, we have Flavio Cobolli, ranked 26th in the world, who dominated Marin Cilic in the first round, winning in straight sets. Cilic, currently ranked 104th, is no pushover, but Cobolli made him look like a junior player.

Now, let's talk odds. According to our friends at BetRivers, Cobolli is the favorite at 1.65, while Arnaldi is at 2.25. The spread is -2.5 for Cobolli, with a price of 1.93, and +2.5 for Arnaldi, with a price of 1.85.

My best bet for this matchup? I've got to go with Cobolli to win, but I think the value lies in the under 39.5 total games, priced at 1.83 on BetMGM. Both players have shown they can win in straight sets, and I think this one will be a relatively quick affair.

So, there you have it - Cobolli to win, and under 39.5 total games. Take it to the bank, folks! (Just kidding, don't actually take it to the bank. I'm just a sportswriter, not a financial advisor.)

Created: May 28, 2025, 9:11 a.m. GMT