Prediction: Miami Dolphins VS Pittsburgh Steelers 2025-12-15

Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: A Frozen Showdown Where the Dolphins Are Thawing Under Pressure

The Miami Dolphins, a team that plays football like a snowman attempts to sunbathe, are about to face the Pittsburgh Steelers in a Monday Night Football showdown that’s colder than Tua Tagovailoa’s dating profile. With temperatures in the single digits and snow flurries swirling, this game is less “gridiron glory” and more “survival of the fittest.” Let’s break down why the Steelers are the shrewd pick here—because Miami’s resume in cold weather reads like a “Do Not Call” list.

Parsing the Odds: Why the Dolphins Are Iceberg Material
The Steelers are -3.5-point favorites, with moneyline odds of -193 (implied probability: 66.1%), while Miami sits at +159 (38.7%). Those numbers aren’t just cold—they’re glacial. Miami’s head coach, Mike McDaniel, has a 0-4 record in games where the temperature dips into the 10s and 20s, and a 4-12 prime-time ledger since 2022. Meanwhile, the Steelers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five Monday night games. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 7-22 against winning teams. If football were a math test, Miami would be using an abacus and a Ouija board.

The total is set at 41.5, with the UNDER favored (-115). Both teams have trends pointing toward a low-scoring affair: Miami’s last six games have seen the under cash 5-1, while Pittsburgh’s last five home games went under 4-1. Cold weather, snowy conditions, and two defenses with “meh” offenses (Miami ranks 24th in scoring) make this feel like a 1970s AFC Championship Game… if the 1970s had central heating.

Digesting the News: Injuries, Rivalries, and Former Teammates
Miami’s running back De’Von Achane (their lone offensive spark) is questionable with a rib injury, which is about as helpful as a deflated balloon at a party. The Steelers? They’ve got their star WR DK Metcalf questionable too, but let’s be real—Pittsburgh’s offense doesn’t need Metcalf to ice a game against a Dolphins defense that’s porous enough to let the wind score a safety.

Adding fuel to the fire: former Dolphins players Jalen Ramsey and DeShon Elliott now play for Pittsburgh, with Elliott publicly roasting Miami’s culture this offseason. Nothing says “heartwarming redemption” like watching ex-teammates cheer for your doom in a blizzard.

The Humor: Because Winter Is for Laughs (and Sacks)
Miami’s offense is like a toaster in a snowstorm—present, but unlikely to produce anything besides a puddle of sentimentality. Tua Tagovailoa needs to avoid throws riskier than a tightrope walker juggling chainsaws, and McDaniel must call plays with the creativity of a spreadsheet accountant. Meanwhile, the Steelers’ defense is a frozen tundra for opposing quarterbacks—chill, but deadly.

If you’re betting on Miami, you’re essentially buying a lottery ticket with the slogan, “Dream Big… Unless You’re a Dolphin in December.”

Prediction: Steelers Stave Off the Chill, Dolphins Suffer Another Frozen Night
The Steelers have the edge in experience, home-field advantage, and a defense that doesn’t crumble when the mercury plummets. Miami’s reliance on Achane’s ground game? It’s like asking a sloth to win a marathon in a blizzard. Unless Tua turns into a human-guided missile (and not the kind that fumbles), Pittsburgh’s -3.5 spread holds.

Final Verdict: Steelers 21, Dolphins 14. Miami’s playoff hopes take a nosedive colder than a penguin’s toes. Grab your hot cocoa and bet accordingly—this is one game where the only thing heating up is the Steelers’ path to the postseason.

Created: Dec. 11, 2025, 12:38 a.m. GMT

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