Prediction: Montréal Canadiens VS Colorado Avalanche 2025-11-29
Montreal Canadiens vs. Colorado Avalanche: A High-Stakes Holiday Feast
The Montreal Canadiens (13-7-3) and Colorado Avalanche (17-1-6) clash in Denver on Thanksgiving, 2025, in a game so packed with offense it’s like a food fight at a buffet—everyone’s bringing the sauce. Let’s break this down with the precision of a Zamboni and the humor of a deflated air horn.
Parsing the Odds: Who’s the Turkey Here?
The Avalanche are heavy favorites at -257, implying a 71.7% chance to win (thanks, math!). Montreal’s +208 line gives them a 32.8% implied probability, which is about as likely as your Aunt Karen finishing her third pumpkin pie. The total goals line sits at 6.5, with the over favored, and for good reason: Colorado leads the league in scoring, while Montreal ranks fourth. Three of their last five meetings have blown past the total like a heat-seeking missile.
The spread? Colorado is -1.5, meaning they’re expected to win by two goals. Considering the Avalanche’s 9-0-2 home record (they play like they’ve got a “Do Not Disturb” sign on their Zamboni) and Montreal’s shaky defensive corps (missing four key players), this line feels like betting on a snowman to survive a sauna.
Injury Reports: A Thanksgiving Tragedy
Both teams are fielding “survivor” lineups. Montreal is without Kirby Dach (foot), Kaiden Guhle (lower body), Alexander Newhook (ankle), and Patrik Laine (abdomen). That’s like Thanksgiving dinner missing the turkey, stuffing, and gravy—something’s gotta give. Colorado isn’t exactly fielding a full deck either, with Gavin Brindley, Valeri Nichushkin, and Logan O’Connor sidelined. But the Avs’ top line of Cale Makar (healthy, thank goodness) and Nathan MacKinnon remains intact, while Montreal’s absence of Laine and Dach is a punch to the power play.
The Plot Thickens: History, Uniforms, and Bolduc’s Hot Streak
The Avalanche are donning their retro Quebec Nordiques uniforms, a nod to the defunct “Battle of Quebec” rivalry. It’s like showing up to a family reunion in a tuxedo—nostalgic, but also a bit awkward. For Montreal, this is a “measuring stick” game. They’ve won three straight as underdogs, but this is their toughest test yet.
Meanwhile, Cole Caufield and Jordan Bolduc are on fire. Bolduc, moved to the top line, has six goals in his last four games—so hot, he could melt the ice if he stood still. The Canadiens’ top line is clicking like a well-oiled Zamboni, but can it outlast Colorado’s offensive juggernaut?
The Verdict: Will the Pie Be Eaten?
The Avalanche’s home-ice advantage, nine-game winning streak, and the fact that they’re playing as if they’ve got a “Win or Else” clause in their contract (thanks, Thanksgiving pressure!) make them the clear choice. Montreal’s injuries weaken their defense, and while their top line is sizzling, it’s not enough to overcome Colorado’s depth and home dominance.
Prediction: Colorado 4, Montreal 2. The over 6.5 total is a no-brainer—this game will be like a sugar rush at a candy factory. Bet the Avalanche, and maybe sneak in an over bet just to watch the scoreboard blush.
Final Joke: If the Canadiens win, it’ll be the first time since 2016 they’ve beaten the Avs in Denver. Until then, Montreal’s road trip perfection? More likely to melt than a candle in a sauna.
Happy Thanksgiving, and may your bets be as bountiful as your gravy. 🍁🏒
Created: Nov. 29, 2025, 6:47 p.m. GMT