Prediction: New Hampshire Wildcats VS Harvard Crimson 2025-11-09

Harvard vs. New Hampshire: A Tale of Two Teams (and Why You Should Bet on the Crimson)

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a basketball game so lopsided, it’s like watching a elephant play chess against a goldfish—if the elephant also happened to be a former chess champion. On Sunday, November 9, Harvard (1-0) hosts New Hampshire (1-1) at Lavietes Pavilion, and the odds make it clear: this isn’t a game. It’s a math problem. Let’s break it down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a Twitter thread written by a stats nerd on coffee.

Parsing the Odds: Why Harvard’s Implied Win Probability is Basically 100%
The betting lines treat Harvard as a near-lock. At FanDuel, Harvard’s moneyline odds sit at +105 (wait, no—actually, their odds are so skewed, they’re listed as 1.05 in decimal, which translates to a 95% implied probability). For context, that’s the statistical equivalent of betting that the sun will rise tomorrow… in a universe where the sun never sets. New Hampshire, meanwhile, is a +10.8 underdog, implying an 8.7% chance to win—about the same odds as correctly guessing someone’s birthday blindfolded, blind drunk, and while reciting the periodic table.

The spread? Harvard is favored by 15.5 points, which, given last season’s numbers, isn’t even a “safe” line—it’s a “you-better-hide-the-15.5” line. Harvard scored 68.4 PPG last year (315th in D1) but allowed a whopping 72 PPG (182nd). New Hampshire, meanwhile, averaged 66.4 PPG (16th-worst) while surrendering 76.6 PPG (306th). In other words, this is a mismatch of defenses… and offenses… and basically everything.

Team News: Harvard’s “Mighty” Offense vs. New Hampshire’s “Not-So-Mighty” Defense
Let’s start with Harvard. Their 79-50 win over MIT was so dominant, it’s being investigated by the Institute for Extraordinary Basketball Victories. Star player Thomas Batties II dropped 17 points, which is about 23% of MIT’s entire output in that game. Harvard’s home-court advantage is also a factor: They averaged 69.2 PPG at Lavietes Pavilion last season. Sure, their three-point shooting was worse than a toddler’s aim (32.2%, 278th nationally), but hey, at least they’re not MIT.

Now, New Hampshire. The Wildcats’ lone “win” this season was a 113-31 drubbing of Curry—a team that, per NCAA records, may or may not have been using their feet instead of hands. Their star, Eva DeChent, poured in 28 points in a loss to Boston College, but the rest of the team combined for… let’s see… zero highlights. New Hampshire’s defense is so porous, it makes a colander look like Fort Knox. Last season, they allowed 76.6 PPG on the road (306th in the nation). If their opponents were soup, New Hampshire’s defense would be a ladle with a hole in it.

The Humor Section: Because Sports Needs Laughs, Not Just Statistics
- Harvard’s offense: It’s like a group of librarians trying to play basketball—quiet, methodical, and somehow still better than you.
- New Hampshire’s defense: They don’t just let points score—they hand them a seat, a snack, and a coupon for a free layup next time.
- The 15.5-point spread: If Harvard doesn’t win by at least 16, the universe breaks. Literally. Physicists are already recalibrating their equations.
- Eva DeChent’s 28 points: A valiant effort, but against Boston College, it was like bringing a spoon to a gunfight… while the gun was also a live grenade.

Prediction: Why You’re Betting on Harvard (Unless You’re a Sadist)
Harvard’s win probability isn’t just high—it’s existential. The Crimson’s home-court advantage, New Hampshire’s defensive incompetence, and the simple fact that 1.05 odds pay less than your coffee at Starbucks all scream one conclusion: Harvard wins by at least 15 points.

But wait! Could New Hampshire pull off the miracle? Technically, yes. But only if:
1. Harvard’s players collectively decide to play like they’re in a “slow mode” video game.
2. Every New Hampshire shooter suddenly develops the three-point touch of Steph Curry’s twin.
3. The game is delayed for three hours so Curry’s twin can teleport in from威海, China.

In short? Don’t waste your money on New Hampshire. Unless you enjoy the thrill of losing, in which case, go ahead—we’ll all be rooting for you.

Final Verdict: Harvard 78, New Hampshire 60. The real question is whether the score will be boringly by the spread or excruciatingly by the spread. Either way, the math wins.

Created: Nov. 9, 2025, 2:42 p.m. GMT

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