Prediction: New Orleans Privateers VS Mississippi St Bulldogs 2025-11-24

Mississippi State vs. New Orleans: A Tale of Three-Pointers and Overpriced Underdogs

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-3) and New Orleans Privateers (2-3) collide in Starkville with a matchup so lopsided in the odds, it’s like betting on a tortoise to outrun Usain Bolt… but the tortoise is also carrying a jetpack. Let’s unpack this statistical circus.

Parsing the Odds: A Math Class You’ll Actually Enjoy
First, the numbers. Mississippi State is a 99% favorite per DraftKings’ 1.01 decimal odds (yes, that’s literally implying they’ll win 99 out of 100 tries). New Orleans’ 23.0 odds? That’s a 4.35% chance, statistically equivalent to flipping a coin and getting heads twice in a row while blindfolded. The spread? Mississippi State is favored by 24.5 points, a line so steep, even the Eiffel Tower’s got a gentler slope.

Why the gulf? Mississippi State’s defense, which allows 80.8 points per game (300th in the nation), isn’t exactly a fortress. But their offense, led by Josh Hubbard’s 23.8 PPG, is a one-man show with the consistency of a microwave—sometimes it works, sometimes it sparks. New Orleans, meanwhile, is a +2.1 PPG team with a 36.4% three-point rate (67th nationally), but their schedule includes a win at TCU and losses to LSU and Fresno State. They’re the basketball equivalent of a mixed drink: tasty in theory, but you’re not sure what’s in it.

News Roundup: Injuries, Strategy, and One Point Guard Named Jakevion
Mississippi State’s woes? Coach Chris Jans admits they’re “figuring it out,” which is sports-speak for “we have no idea what we’re doing.” Their new defensive scheme? A “less aggressive” approach that’s like telling a sloth to sprint. Turnovers are down, but fans are muttering about the Bulldogs’ defense being so passive, they’d let a yoga instructor score 30 points.

New Orleans’ saving grace is Jakevion Buckley, a “super-talented point guard” who doesn’t “get sped up” (thanks to Coach Stacy Hollowell for that gem). Buckley’s 16 PPG, 5.8 APG, and 7.0 RPG make him the Privateers’ Swiss Army knife—though he’s still looking for a cure to his team’s 3-3 start.

Humor: When Math Meets Absurdity
Mississippi State’s defense is so porous, they’d let a strong crosswind score a layup. Their new “non-aggressive” scheme? It’s like asking a fire hydrant to play chess. Meanwhile, New Orleans’ three-point shooting is so hot right now, they could roast marshmallows over their offense. But betting on them to pull an upset? That’s like betting your goldfish will solve a Rubik’s Cube.

Prediction: The Unsurprising Verdict
Despite the comedy of errors, the math doesn’t lie. Mississippi State’s 99% implied probability isn’t a typo—it’s a mathematical middle finger to the concept of suspense. New Orleans’ best hope is cashing in their three-pointers like lottery tickets and hoping Buckley channels his inner magician.

Final Verdict: Bet on Mississippi State to win by the margin of a textbook cover spread (-24.5). Unless Buckley invents a time machine to fix his team’s luck, this is a rout waiting to happen. And if you do bet on New Orleans? Congrats, you’ve officially bought a lottery ticket with a 4% chance of winning. Maybe that’s the real lesson here.

“The price of success is success.” – Coach Jans, probably, if he believed in metaphors.

Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 12:07 a.m. GMT

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