Prediction: North Dakota St Bison VS Montana Grizzlies 2025-12-03
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota State Bison: A Statistical Shootout with a Side of Shenanigans
The Montana Grizzlies (4-4) and North Dakota State Bison (5-3) clash on Wednesday, December 3, 2025, in a basketball showdown that’s less “March Madness” and more “December Mayhem.” With Montana as a 3.5-point underdog on the road, the odds suggest the Bison are the favorite—but let’s not let the numbers fool us. This game is a statistical minefield where percentages, rebounds, and three-pointers could decide the victor. Let’s break it down with the precision of a point guard and the humor of a halftime comedian.
Parsing the Odds: Who’s the Real Deal?
The betting lines paint a curious picture. Montana’s decimal odds hover around 1.53 (implying a 65% implied probability of winning), while North Dakota State’s 2.50 odds suggest a 40% chance. That 25% gap? It’s about the same as the chance your Aunt Karen will accidentally text her ex during the game. The total line sits at 152.5 points, meaning bookmakers expect a combined offensive explosion—though whether that’s a fireworks show or a controlled burn remains to be seen.
Statistical Shenanigans: Rebounds, Shooters, and Road Struggles
Montana’s Edge:
- Shooting Accuracy: The Grizzlies are hitting 48.6% from the field, a full 6.9% higher than North Dakota State’s 41.7% defensive FG allowed. If you’ve ever tried to sink a free throw after two cups of coffee, you’ll appreciate this edge.
- Home-Court Advantage: Montana’s 3-2 home record is nothing to sneeze at. Their 8.0 offensive rebounds per game, led by Kenyon Aguino’s 1.9 RPG, might not win a rebounding title, but it’s enough to keep the ball in play longer than a TikTok dance trend.
North Dakota State’s Perks:
- Three-Point Threat: The Bison average 9.1 made threes per game, 3.0 more than Montana allows. If they hit their usual rhythm, they’ll shoot like a rogue NBA all-star.
- Road Redemption: At 0-3 on the road, the Bison are about as comfortable in hostile territory as a vegan at a barbecue contest. But hey, maybe the pressure of a hostile crowd will turn them into underdog heroes?
Key Players and Absurd Analogies
- Money Williams (Montana): Averaging 19.1 PPG at 46.2% FG, Williams is Montana’s offensive engine. Think of him as a espresso shot in a coffee cup—small, potent, and guaranteed to keep you awake.
- Markhi Strickland (North Dakota State): Dishing out 14.3 PPG and 3.6 RPG, Strickland is the Bison’s Swiss Army knife. If he’s on fire, he’ll play like a one-man highlight reel.
- Rebounding Rivalry: North Dakota State’s 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (led by Trevian Carson’s 2.6 RPG) vs. Montana’s 8.0? It’s like a tug-of-war between a determined toddler and a sleep-deprived dad—neither side wants to lose, but both are slightly unhinged.
The Football Rivalry: A Distraction or a Diversion?
Let’s not forget the teams’ football history—a blood feud featuring comebacks so dramatic, they’d make a soap opera writer weep. Montana’s 23-3 national championship romp in 2024? A love letter to redemption. But here’s the kicker: this is basketball. The Bison’s road struggles and Montana’s sharpshooting are the real storylines. Still, if the Grizzlies channel their football dominance, they might just drop a 20-point third-quarter bomb on the Bison.
Prediction: Who’s Cooking Tonight?
While the odds favor North Dakota State, Montana’s 48.6% FG and home-court magic give them a statistical edge. The Bison’s road woes (0-3) and reliance on three-pointers (which can be as inconsistent as a WiFi signal in a basement) make them a risky bet.
Final Verdict: Montana Grizzlies 79-74. They’ll shoot their way to victory, outrebound the Bison by a nose, and leave fans wondering why anyone ever doubted them. As for North Dakota State? They’ll need to hit 10+ threes and hope the Grizzlies’ defense plays like a team that’s never seen a basketball before.
Bet: Take Montana (+3.5) and the Over 152.5—because when two teams play with this much heart (and a little chaos), the points add up faster than a kid on a sugar rush.
Game time: 9 p.m. EST. Tip-off your friends, but don’t tip the odds. 🏀
Created: Dec. 3, 2025, 9:41 p.m. GMT