Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners VS Arizona St Sun Devils 2025-12-06
Oklahoma vs. Arizona State: A Neutral-Court Shootout Where the Sooners Should Hit Their Marks
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a basketball game where Oklahoma’s offense is like a fully loaded espresso machine—unstoppable if you don’t mess with the settings—and Arizona State’s defense is a sieve that’s special-ordered by a sieve enthusiast’s dream. Let’s break this down with the precision of a stat head who’s finally found their niche.
Parsing the Odds: Why Oklahoma’s Spread is as Obvious as a Midcourt Uppercut
The numbers don’t lie (well, they might if they’re trying to explain the NBA’s TV ratings). Oklahoma enters as a 6.5-point favorite, with implied probabilities from bookmakers like FanDuel (Oklahoma at +1.36 decimal odds, ~73% implied chance to win) and DraftKings (Oklahoma at +1.39, ~71.9% implied). Arizona State, meanwhile, is priced at +3.10 (DraftKings), giving them a 32.3% chance to pull off the upset.
Why the lopsided betting action? Look at the scoring differential: Oklahoma outpaces opponents by +103 points per game, while Arizona State’s meager +34 looks like a typo from a sleep-deprived intern. The Sooners average 86.5 points (56th nationally), led by Nijel Pack’s 18.5 PPG and 4.3 threes per game (he’s basically a human 3-point shot clock). Arizona State? They shoot 46% from the field (nice!), but they allow 76.6 points per game—which is great if you’re a fan of opponents scoring, I guess?
The spread of -6.5 for Oklahoma feels almost generous. For context, Oklahoma’s last game saw them outscore Wake Forest by 17 points. Covering -6.5 is like bringing a firehose to a water gun fight and still winning by a pool.
Digesting the News: Moe Odum’s Hot Streak vs. Oklahoma’s “We Don’t Trip” Mentality
Arizona State’s star, Moe Odum, is a beast. He dropped 26.3 PPG in the Maui Invitational and has the resume to match (Dick Vitale’s National Player of the Week? Yes, please). But here’s the catch: Oklahoma’s defense allows just 73.6 PPG (191st in scoring defense, but hey, they’re not worst, so that counts as a win). Plus, Oklahoma’s frontcourt—led by Derrion Reid’s 7.3 rebounds per game and Mohamed Wague’s 64.9% shooting—is built to smother interior threats.
Arizona State’s recent idle time since Nov. 26 is a red flag. Did they binge-watch the entire NBA 2K25 story mode? Oklahoma, meanwhile, has been a well-oiled machine under Coach Porter Moser, with a 21-3 nonconference record since 2022. They’ve also got four players in double figures, including Tae Davis, who’s like a one-man wrecking crew on the offensive glass (3.8 RPG—SEC leader, baby!).
As for injuries? No major ones listed. But if Arizona State’s Bryce Ford (2.1 threes per game) trips over his own shoelaces again, that’ll be a problem.
Humorous Spin: Why This Game is Like a Netflix Heist Movie
Oklahoma’s offense is a four-star heist crew: Pack handles the locks (3-pointers), Davis cracks the safe (rebounds), Reid picks the pockets (steals), and Wague? He’s the guy who quietly takes over when no one’s looking. Arizona State’s defense is a DIY home security system—“Looks good on paper! Oh wait, the motion sensor is pointing at the couch.”
The spread? -6.5 is basically Oklahoma saying, “We’ll let you have six points… but only if you earn them.” And Arizona State’s +6.5? It’s like giving a toddler a loaded rifle and saying, “Go beat the NBA!”
Prediction: Sooners Cash In, Sun Devils Cash Out of Confidence
Oklahoma’s balanced attack, superior depth, and ability to light it up from deep (34.2% 3PT, 62nd nationally) make them the clear choice. Arizona State’s lack of a reliable interior defense and recent inactivity work against them.
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma 84, Arizona State 72.
Why? Because Oklahoma’s scoring margin (+12.9 PPP) is nearly double Arizona State’s (+4.3). Plus, Moe Odum can’t carry a team alone—unless he’s also a magician.
Bet: Oklahoma -6.5 (because covering the spread is just good manners) and Over 157.5 (these teams combined for 167.4 PPG last meeting—someone’s due for a regression, but not tonight!).
Go Sooners—or as I call them, The Team That Doesn’t Let You Forget They’re Good.
Created: Dec. 7, 2025, 2:42 a.m. GMT