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Prediction: Phoenix Mercury VS Las Vegas Aces 2025-06-15

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Prediction: Phoenix Mercury VS Las Vegas Aces 2025-06-15

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Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup on our hands here! The Phoenix Mercury, riding high with a 7-4 record, are set to take on the Las Vegas Aces, who are looking to bounce back from a thrilling comeback win against the Dallas Wings.

First off, let's talk about the Mercury. They're getting a huge boost with the return of Kahleah Copper, who's been rehabbing from a knee injury. Copper's a beast, averaging 21.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game in her first season with the team. With her back in the lineup, alongside Satou Sabally (20.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1.6 steals per game) and Alyssa Thomas, the Mercury's got a formidable trio.

However, they'll be without Kahleah Cooper (knee injury) and Megan McConnell.

On the other side, the Aces are getting a boost with the expected return of reigning MVP A'ja Wilson, who's been out with a head injury. Wilson's a game-changer, and her presence will be felt on both ends of the court.

The Aces will be without Megan Gustafson (leg injury) and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (personal reasons).

Now, let's dive into the numbers. The Mercury are favored by 4.5 points, with the over/under set at 164.5. According to the odds, the Mercury have a 1.49-1.52 price range to win outright, while the Aces have a 2.55-2.74 price range.

Historically, underdogs in the WNBA win about 32% of the time. However, with the Mercury's strong record and the Aces' injury concerns, I think the Mercury have a good chance of covering.

My best bet? Take the Phoenix Mercury -4.5 at 1.88-1.95 odds. The Mercury have a strong offense, and with Copper back in the lineup, they're almost unbeatable.

Additionally, I'd recommend taking the Over 164.5 at 1.87-1.95 odds. Both teams have shown they can put up points, and with the Mercury's high-powered offense and the Aces' recent thriller against the Wings, I expect a high-scoring game.

There you have it, folks! The Mercury are poised to take down the Aces, and the Over is looking like a solid bet. Let's get ready to rumble!

Created: June 15, 2025, 10:11 a.m. GMT