Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers VS Chicago Bears 2025-11-23
Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: A Tale of Wrist Injuries, Comebacks, and Why Soldier Field Hates the Steelers
The Chicago Bears (7-3) and Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) clash on Sunday in a game thatâs as much about history as it is about football. The Bears are 2.5-point favorites, and with decimal odds of 1.68 (implied probability: ~58.3%), theyâre the clear chalk. The Steelers, at 2.24 (implied ~44.6%), are the underdog, which is a role theyâd rather not play, especially in Chicago, where theyâve lost 12 of their last 13 games. Letâs break this down with the precision of a tight spiral and the humor of a postgame interview with a QB whose helmet just exploded.
Parsing the Odds: Why the Bears Are the Mathematically Sound Bet
The Bearsâ 2.5-point edge isnât just a numberâitâs a statement. Their defense, which has quietly held opponents to 19 points or fewer in four of their last five games, is the equivalent of a locked door in a house thatâs already on fire. The Steelersâ offense, meanwhile, is sputtering like a car with a flat tire and a GPS set to ânowhere fast.â Pittsburghâs staff picks are split, but the Bearsâ offenseâled by Caleb Williams, whoâs throwing for yards like heâs farming them on a video gameâhas the edge in a game that could hinge on who makes fewer mistakes.
The total is set at 46.5 points, which sounds about right. Neither team is a high-scoring party (Bears are 12th in points per game; Steelers are 15th), so the Under might be a sneaky play for those who hate surprises.
Injury Report: Rodgersâ Wrist vs. the Bearsâ âIâve Seen This Beforeâ Mentality
Aaron Rodgers is the wild card. The Steelersâ QB has a broken left wrist (heâs right-handed, so this isnât his throwing hand, but pain is pain). Will he play? Of courseâheâs Aaron Rodgers, a man who once played through a thumb injury while the rest of us avoid touching our phones. But hereâs the rub: Rodgers is 24-4 against the Bears in his career, but this isnât a regular Bears team. Itâs the 2025 version, which has the defense of a determined beaver and a fourth-quarter moxie thatâs earned them five comebacks this season.
The Steelersâ offense? Itâs like a car with a âCheck Engineâ light thatâs been ignored for 300 miles. Theyâve lost momentum, per the staff picks, and even if Rodgers limps onto the field, his supporting cast isnât exactly the 2007 Patriots.
The Curse of Soldier Field: Pittsburghâs Personal Hell
Letâs talk about history. The Steelers are 1-12 in Chicago since 2000. Thatâs not a typo. One win. Twelve losses. Soldier Field isnât just a stadiumâitâs a psychological trap for Pittsburgh. Imagine showing up to your exâs house for a âfriendlyâ BBQ, only to realize theyâve invited all your old enemies, your least favorite band, and a guy who once stole your parking spot. Thatâs the Steelersâ vibe in Chicago.
And letâs not forget the Bearsâ special teams, which are the unsung heroes of this matchup. A 56-yard kickoff return for a touchdown? A 48-yard game-winner? This isnât just clutchâitâs glorious. The Steelersâ return units, meanwhile, look like theyâre playing with training wheels.
Prediction: Bears Win, But Not Because Theyâre Good⊠Because the Steelers Are Bad
The Bears win 25-20, covering the 2.5-point spread. Why? Because the Steelersâ offense canât overcome Rodgersâ injury-induced hunchback (metaphorically), and the Bearsâ defense will play like a swarm of bees thatâs been insulted. The key play? A fourth-quarter interception by Chicagoâs rookie safety, whoâll be named âMost Likely to Have a Career Yearâ in next yearâs highlight reel.
Final Score Prediction: Bears 25, Steelers 20.
Why? Because the math says so, the history says so, and deep down, the Steelers know Soldier Field is their personal purgatory. Unless Pittsburghâs QB starts throwing touchdowns with his right hand (and maybe his left foot), this oneâs a Bears romp.
Now go bet like youâre a time-traveling version of yourself who already saw the tape. Youâre welcome. đ
Created: Nov. 23, 2025, 6:11 a.m. GMT