Prediction: Rolando Bedoya VS Jamie Mullarkey 2025-09-27

UFC Fight Night Perth: Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya – A Clash of Comebacks and Comedies

Let’s dissect this light-heavyweight scrap between Jamie Mullarkey (Australia’s grizzled veteran) and Rolando Bedoya (Peru’s “I’ve-learnt-my-lessons” underdog) with the precision of a UFC cutman and the humor of a cornerman’s trash talk.

Parsing the Odds: The Math of Mayhem
The fight’s implied probabilities tell a tale of cautious optimism for both men. Mullarkey, the 1.80 favorite (decimal odds), carries a 55.5% implied chance to win, while Bedoya (+210 in American odds, translating to 32.3% implied probability) is the scrappy underdog. But here’s the twist: Bedoya’s odds are artificially deflated by his three consecutive losses—statistically, he’s the MMA version of a broken toaster. Mullarkey, meanwhile, is the reliable coffee machine you keep despite its 2012 purchase date.

The “Over/Under” line sits at 2.5 rounds, with “Over” priced at 1.59 (63% implied) and “Under” at 2.42 (41.3%). That suggests bookmakers expect a stoppage—or at least a fighter who’s forgotten how to pace a fight.

Digesting the News: Injuries, Ambitions, and Metaphors
Jamie Mullarkey is the Australian equivalent of a sturdy kangaroo: dependable, slightly grumpy, and unlikely to trip over its own feet. A veteran of the UFC’s middleweight division, he’s here to prove he can transition to light-heavyweight without becoming a slow-moving target. No injuries reported—though one wonders if his career longevity is due to skill or the UFC’s mercy.

Rolando Bedoya, on the other hand, is a Peruvian phoenix. After three straight losses (including a 2023 TKO that looked like a physics experiment gone wrong), he’s sharpened his striking at São Paulo’s Chute Boxe gym. His coach’s advice? “Hit harder, cry later.” Bedoya’s got the heart of a lion, but the coordination of a lion who’s never met a savannah.

Humorous Spin: Puns, Pain, and Poetry
Mullarkey’s defense is like a well-worn umbrella in a monsoon—functional, but don’t expect it to keep you dry if you tilt it sideways. Bedoya’s striking “improvements” are akin to a toddler learning to hold a fork: progress is made, but the mess is inevitable.

Let’s not forget the time Bedoya lost to Ciryl Gane in 2022. That fight was so one-sided, it could’ve been a tutorial on “How to Lose Without Even Trying.” Now, he’s back with the enthusiasm of a man who just remembered he owns a toothbrush.

As for Mullarkey, his career is a case study in persistence. He’s the MMA version of that guy at the gym who’s been on the treadmill since 2016, still waiting for results.

Prediction: Who’ll Be Cheering for the Bell?
While Bedoya’s heart is commendable (and his odds tempting for risk-takers with a death wish), Mullarkey’s experience and consistency make him the safer bet. The Australian veteran has faced worse, including the 2020 pandemic and his trainer’s questionable nutrition advice.

Final Verdict: Bet on Jamie Mullarkey to survive this dance with danger. Unless Bedoya lands a haymaker with the precision of a NASA rover, Mullarkey’s grizzled grip on victory won’t loosen.

And if you’re feeling spicy, throw a few bucks on the Over 2.5 rounds—because in MMA, the only thing more predictable than a upset is a fighter forgetting how to manage energy.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I need to check if Dominick Reyes is bringing that “circus acrobat” energy to his main event… or if he’s just acrobatically bad at math. 🥋

Created: Sept. 27, 2025, 10:52 p.m. GMT

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