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Prediction: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash VS Troy Trojans 2025-11-26

Troy Trojans vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: A Lopsided Lobster Boil

The Troy Trojans (4-4) host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (0-5) on Wednesday, November 26, 2025, in a game so lopsided it’s already being priced like a one-sided chess match. Troy is a 22.5-point favorite, with a +47 scoring differential and an offense that averages 89.8 points per game—a number so high it makes a vending machine look thrifty. St. Francis, meanwhile, is a team that allows opponents to score 90.6 points per game while mustering just 62.8 of their own. Their defense is like a colander; if you poured Gatorade on them, it’d come out the other side as lemonade.

Parsing the Odds: Why This Is a Math Problem, Not a Game
Troy’s offensive efficiency is staggering. They shoot 45.3% from the field, outpacing St. Francis’s defense, which allows opponents to shoot a blistering 53.3%—a stat that’s 8 percentage points higher than Troy’s own defense. The Red Flash’s scoring differential (-139) is worse than a Netflix password shared with seven roommates; it’s chaotic, messy, and nobody wins.

Key players for Troy include Cooper Campbell (17.4 PPG, 49.5% shooting) and Thomas Dowd, who nabs 2.1 three-pointers per game—a stat that’s less “sharpshooter” and more “thermonuclear missile.” On the other side, St. Francis’s Skylar Wicks (18.6 PPG, 8.6 RPG) is their lone bright spot, though even his rebounding can’t offset the fact that his team allows 27.8 more points per game than they score.

The spread of 22.5 points implies Troy has a ~98% implied probability of winning (per decimal odds), which is statistically equivalent to betting that the sun will rise tomorrow… in a universe where gravity still works.

Recent News: Injuries, Losses, and a Side of Humiliation
Troy’s last game was a 75-68 loss to Toledo, where Theo Seng dropped 18 points. It’s the basketball equivalent of a B- movie villain monologue—underwhelming but not entirely forgettable. St. Francis, meanwhile, was throttled 94-57 by Belmont, with Ahmad Harrison’s 17 points being the only thing more futile than a lifejacket on a sinking ship.

No major injuries are listed for either team, but St. Francis’s schedule thus far reads like a horror movie: five losses, four of them by double digits. Their defense is so leaky, they’d let a mime score 50 points without using any hands.

Humorous Spin: Why This Game Is Already Over
Imagine St. Francis’s defense as a group of kindergarteners trying to block a professional sumo wrestler. Troy’s offense, meanwhile, is like that one kid in class who always raises their hand, knows all the answers, and still somehow manages to steal your snacks at lunch.

The 22.5-point spread is so generous, it’s like giving someone a 10-head start in a race against a cheetah. If Troy’s offense were a restaurant, it’d be a five-star Michelin; St. Francis’s defense? A “caution: floor is wet” sign in a soup kitchen.

And let’s not forget the over/under of 151.5 points. With Troy’s offense and St. Francis’s defense, we’re looking at a game where the Red Flash might score fewer points than the number of technical fouls they’ll accumulate.

Prediction: A Foregone Conclusion
This is a game where Troy’s bench could probably outscore St. Francis’s starting five. The numbers don’t lie: Troy’s +47 scoring differential vs. St. Francis’s -139 is the sports equivalent of a superhero facing a toddler in a cape.

Final Score Prediction: Troy 98, St. Francis (PA) 73.

Unless St. Francis invents a time machine to borrow Belmont’s offense, this is a coroner’s report written in basketball terms. Grab your popcorn, but maybe skip the betting—unless you’re into dramatic, last-second, entire-team meltdowns.

Created: Nov. 26, 2025, 3:07 p.m. GMT

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