Prediction: St Louis Blues VS Buffalo Sabres 2025-11-06
Sabres Ride Thompsonâs Grudge, Blues Sink in Goaltending Quicksand: A 4-2 Buffalo Rout (Probably)
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a hockey clash thatâs equal parts ârevenge thrillerâ and âwhy did the goaltender cross the ice? To get to the other net, but he tripped!â The Buffalo Sabres (-137) host the St. Louis Blues (+114) on November 6, 2025, in a matchup where the Sabresâ consistency, rest, and Tage Thompsonâs vendetta against his ex-team collide with the Bluesâ⌠well, their ability to turn goalies into human sprinklers.
Parsing the Odds: A Tale of Two Goalies
Letâs start with the most alarming stat: Jordan Binnington, St. Louisâ starter, allowed three goals on three shots in a single period. Thatâs not hockey; thatâs Russian roulette with a puck. Backup Joel Hofer isnât exactly a savior, eitherâsix straight games allowing two or more goals. If the Bluesâ defense were a leaky boat, Hofer would be the guy who accidentally brought a ladle instead of a plug.
Buffaloâs odds (-137) imply a 57.6% chance to win, while St. Louisâ +114 line gives them just 47.2%. The spread (-1.5 for Buffalo) suggests the Sabres should win by at least two goals, which feels generous only if youâve never seen the Bluesâ power play. They went 0-for-2 against Washington, a performance soć¨ it made Alex Ovechkinâs 900th career goal feel like a mercy ruling.
The total goals line sits at 6.5, but the teams average 5.6 combined goals per gameâa full 0.9 under the posted total. Thatâs like ordering a âlargeâ pizza and getting a medium. The predicted score? Buffalo 4, St. Louis 2. A tidy, low-scoring win for the Sabres, which aligns with their recent trend of grinding out overtime wins rather than blowing teams out.
Digesting the News: Thompsonâs Grudge, Bluesâ Fatigue
Buffaloâs Alex Tuch is having a season that makes him look like a man who just discovered the âscoreâ button on his controller. With 12 points in 13 games, heâs the Sabresâ offensive engine. But the real story is Tage Thompson, whoâs seven points in eight games against the Blues since being traded in 2018. Thompsonâs history with St. Louis reads like a horror movie: âThe Ex Who Skates Too Well.â Imagine if your ex still showed up to every family reunion and one-upped you by winning the charades tournament. Thatâs Thompson against the Blues.
Meanwhile, the Blues are a team playing with one hand tied behind their back. Theyâve played two games in 48 hours, and their defense looks like a group of kindergarteners trying to build a wall out of Jell-O. Their power play? A statistical anomaly so rare it deserves its own Wikipedia page.
The Humor: Hockeyâs Weirdest Bedfellows
The Bluesâ goaltending crisis is so dire, itâs giving Moulin Rouge!âs Satine a run for her money in the âdamsel in distressâ category. Binnington and Hofer combined look like theyâve been asked to juggle chainsaws while riding unicycles. If the Bluesâ defense were a Netflix series, itâd be titled âWhy Are We Paying You?!â
Buffalo, meanwhile, is like that friend who always shows up to the party with a six-pack of beer and a plan. Their five-game streak of overtime heroics? The hockey equivalent of a spreadsheet titled âHow to Win Without Looking Effortless.â
And letâs not forget the Over/Under of 6.5 goals. With these teams averaging 5.6 goals per game, betting the under is like ordering a âlightâ salad and getting a head of lettuce. Itâs technically there, but youâll be hungry by lunch.
Prediction: Buffaloâs Revenge, the Statistical Way
The Sabres win 4-2, with Thompson netting at least one goal (+100 odds) to salt the wound of his former team. The under hits because the Bluesâ offense is a car with a flat tire (theyâll get there eventually, but not before youâre late for dinner).
Final Score: Buffalo 4, St. Louis 2. Take the Sabres and the under.
Why? Because the Bluesâ goaltending is a house on fire, and Buffaloâs forwards have the garden hoses. And if history teaches us anything, itâs that exes always score first.
Created: Nov. 6, 2025, 10:02 p.m. GMT