Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays VS Boston Red Sox 2025-06-11
Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup for you tonight at Fenway Park as the Tampa Bay Rays (36-30) take on the Boston Red Sox (32-36) at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Rays are looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss on Tuesday, while the Red Sox are riding high after Roman Anthony's impressive major league debut.
The Starting Pitchers
Walker Buehler (4-4) takes the mound for the Red Sox, while Zack Littell (6-5) gets the nod for the Rays. Buehler has been decent this season, but his ERA sits at 4.17, which ranks 23rd in MLB. Littell, on the other hand, has been a workhorse for the Rays, sporting a respectable 6-5 record.
The Key Stats
The Rays' Junior Caminero leads the team with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while the Red Sox's Rafael Devers has 14 home runs and 57 RBIs. The Red Sox have won 21 of 43 games they were favored on the moneyline this season, which translates to a 49% win rate.
The Odds
The odds are looking like this:
Head-to-Head:
+ Boston Red Sox: -114 (1.87) on FanDuel, -110 (1.9) on LowVig.ag, and -110 (1.9) on BetOnline.ag
+ Tampa Bay Rays: -106 (1.95) on FanDuel, -110 (2.01) on LowVig.ag, and -110 (2.01) on BetOnline.ag
Spreads:
+ Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+140) on FanDuel, -1.5 (+175) on LowVig.ag, and -1.5 (+135) on BetOnline.ag
+ Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 (-160) on FanDuel, +1.5 (-151) on LowVig.ag, and +1.5 (-155) on BetOnline.ag
Totals:
+ Over 9.5: -110 (1.82) on FanDuel, -110 (1.81) on LowVig.ag, and -110 (1.8) on BetOnline.ag
+ Under 9.5: -110 (2.0) on FanDuel, -110 (2.07) on LowVig.ag, and -110 (2.05) on BetOnline.ag
The Injury Report
As of now, there are no significant injuries reported for either team.
The Verdict
Given the trends and stats, I'm going to recommend a data-driven best bet:
Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-110)
The Red Sox and Rays have shown a tendency to play low-scoring games, and the starting pitchers have been decent. The Under has a historical win rate of 41% in baseball, which is relatively high. However, considering the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, I think the Under 9.5 is a solid bet.
Confidence Level: 7/10*
The Red Sox have been inconsistent this season, and the Rays have been decent on the road. While I wouldn't be surprised if either team wins, I think the Under 9.5 is a safer bet.
There you have it, folks! A thorough analysis of the matchup, complete with relevant statistics and odds. Now, go ahead and make your informed decision.
Created: June 11, 2025, 10:45 a.m. GMT