Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs VS Kansas State Wildcats 2025-10-11

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: A Tale of Two Frogs (and a Curse)

Odds Breakdown & Key Stats
The numbers scream “TCU for the win,” but let’s not let the math bore us. Here’s the tea:
- Moneyline: TCU is the consensus favorite, with decimal odds hovering around 1.68-1.75 (implied probability: 57-60%). Kansas State’s 2.2-2.3 odds suggest bookmakers think the Wildcats have a 43-45% shot. In betting terms, it’s like saying TCU is the main course and KSU is the appetizer—both served with a side of “why are we even considering the appetizer?”
- Spread: TCU is a 2.5-3-point favorite, per most books. That’s not a landslide—it’s more like a “we’ll win, but don’t take your eye off the ball” kind of edge. Kansas State’s +3 lifeline is their version of a Hail Mary, but with fewer arm injuries.
- Total: The over/under is 54.5-55 points, with the Over priced at 1.87-1.91. In other words, this game could end with enough points to make a fantasy football GM weep with gratitude.

Team News: Injuries, Comebacks, and a Touch of Drama
- TCU: Quarterback Josh Hoover is the real deal, throwing for 275 yards and 4 TDs last week. His arm is so strong, he could launch a football into low Earth orbit if given a running start. The Frogs also have a “do-it-all” threat in Joseph Manjack IV, who’s as reliable as a microwave—sometimes you get hot, sometimes you get “wait, was it on?”
- Kansas State: The Wildcats are dealing with a questionable Dylan Edwards, their top running back. Edwards is the team’s heartbeat, and without him, KSU’s offense becomes a heart monitor flatlining to a slide show of Baylor’s last-second field goal. Avery Johnson, their QB, is a stat-stuffer (29/45 for 344 yards last game), but even he can’t out-throw a curse.

The “Manhattan Curse” and Other Urban Legends
TCU hasn’t beaten Kansas State in Manhattan since 2017. That’s longer than some of their students’ attention spans during a lecture on quantum physics. The “curse” is as real as a fan who promises to “never talk to you again” after you accidentally cheer for their rival. But here’s the kicker: Kansas State’s four losses this season have all been by single digits. They’re the sports equivalent of a reality TV show—always drama, never resolution.

Humorous Spin: Frogs, Fireworks, and Football
TCU’s offense is like a popcorn machine: explosive, loud, and best viewed from a safe distance. Hoover’s four-touchdown performance last week was so dominant, it made the Colorado defense question its life choices. Meanwhile, Kansas State’s defense is a work in progress—think of it as a sieve that’s still waiting for its “aha!” moment.

As for Dylan Edwards? If he’s out, the Wildcats’ running game becomes about as effective as a screen door on a submarine. And let’s not forget the Baylor thriller—a game where Kansas State’s “I almost had it” attitude was the only thing more exhausting than watching the final minute.

Prediction: The Curse Cracks (Probably)
While the “Manhattan Curse” is a fun narrative, TCU’s superior firepower and Kansas State’s injury woes make this a pick’em with a slight nod to the Frogs. The spread (2.5-3 points) suggests a close game, but TCU’s offense has the edge to pull away.

Final Score Prediction: TCU 31, Kansas State 24.
Why? Because TCU’s offense is a popcorn machine, and Kansas State’s defense is the kid who forgets to turn off the stove.

Bet: Take TCU -2.5 and a lemonade. It’s a sunny day for the Frogs, and the Wildcats’ best chance is if Hoover starts throwing pick-sixes… or if Dylan Edwards’ status turns into a Netflix documentary.

Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. If you bet on Kansas State, may your faith in underdogs be as strong as a Kansas State fan’s hope for a bowl victory. 🍿🏈

Created: Oct. 11, 2025, 7:39 p.m. GMT

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