Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies VS Florida St Seminoles 2025-11-28
Florida State vs. Texas A&M: A High-Stakes Hoops Showdown
The Florida State Seminoles (5-1) and Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) collide on November 28 in a clash of high-octane offenses and contrasting narratives. Let’s break down the numbers, news, and why this game might hinge on whether someone remembers to tie their shoelaces.
Parsing the Odds: A Tug-of-War Over 1.5 Points
Florida State is a modest 1.5-point favorite, with moneyline odds hovering around -185 (implied probability: ~65%) for the Seminoles and +190 for Texas A&M (~50%). The over/under sits at 171.5 points, reflecting two teams that shoot like fireworks: Florida State averages 93.2 PPG, while Texas A&M matches them at 93.4 PPG. Yet their defenses are as leaky as a sieve—A&M allows 77.7 PPG, and FSU surrenders 70.3. This is a game where 170 points feels like a conservative estimate, unless someone invents a net made of concrete.
Team News: Resilience vs. Reinforcements
Florida State enters on a high note after dismantling Cal State Bakersfield 89-59, overcoming a 0-for-15 three-point start in the first half. Coach Luke Loucks praised his team’s grit, emphasizing that “missing shots won’t kill us if we keep turning up the heat on defense.” Their 21.2 forced turnovers per game (Division I-leading) and Robert McCray’s 7.3 assists per game make them a menace to teams with shaky ball-handling.
Texas A&M, meanwhile, is riding a three-game winning streak, including a 120-84 romp over Mississippi Valley State. Transfer Mackenzie Mgbako, who missed the first five games with a foot injury, dropped 19 points in his return—a welcome addition for a team that relies on 37.1% three-point shooting (third in the SEC). Coach Bucky McMillan called Mgbako “a late-blooming rose,” which is a poetic way of saying, “We’re glad he finally showed up.”
The Humor: Three-Pointers, Turnovers, and Shoelaces
Let’s be real: Texas A&M’s offense is like a sprinkler system—impressive when it works, but a disaster if you step in the way. Their 93.4 PPG is stellar, but Florida State’s defense, which allows 23.1 fewer points per game, might turn their three-pointers into duds. Imagine Lajae Jones, A&M’s sharpshooter, taking a contested shot—only for Marcus Hill, FSU’s defensive wizard, to swat it like a mosquito at a barbecue.
Then there’s the turnover battle. Florida State forces turnovers with the enthusiasm of a cat in a room full of yarn. At 21.2 per game, they’ll be sniffing for Aggies who still haven’t learned to tie their shoelaces (a problem that tripped up Texas’ Arch Manning in a previous example—apparently, football and basketball share a curse).
Prediction: The Seminoles Edge Out the Aggies
While Texas A&M’s offense is a rocket launcher, Florida State’s defense and turnover prowess are their secret weapon. The Aggies’ porous defense (77.7 PPG allowed) will struggle to contain FSU’s relentless pressure, and their three-point reliance could dry up against a Seminoles squad that holds opponents to 70.3 PPG.
Final Score Prediction: Florida State 82, Texas A&M 78
Why? Because the Seminoles’ 1.5-point favorite tag isn’t just a number—it’s a reminder that in a game this close, even the length of your shoelaces matters. Bet FSU, unless you fancy a last-second three from A&M that bounces off the rim like a confused squirrel.
Stream it on ESPN Unlimited, and keep an eye on Mgbako—his return might be the plot twist this drama needs. 🏀
Created: Nov. 28, 2025, 4:30 p.m. GMT