Prediction: Texas Longhorns VS UCLA Bruins 2025-11-26

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UCLA vs. Texas: A Clash of Titans (and Terrible Three-Point Shooting)

The No. 3 UCLA Bruins and No. 4 Texas Longhorns are set to collide in a top-5 showdown that’s less “March Madness” and more “November Napalm.” Both teams are 5-0, but their paths to perfection have been as different as a vegan chef and a deep-fried twinkie. Let’s break it down with the precision of a stat head and the humor of a stand-up comic who’s had one too many energy drinks.

Odds & Implied Probabilities
DraftKings has UCLA as a -225 favorite (implied probability: 69.2%) and Texas at +200 (33.3%). Fanatics leans slightly more on UCLA (-250, 71.4%) and Texas (+210, 32.3%). The spread is UCLA -1.5, and the total is 137.5 points. These numbers scream “UCLA’s defense will make Texas’s offense look like a sprinkler in a hurricane,” but let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

Statistical Shenanigans
UCLA’s defense is the NBA’s Giannis Antetokounmpo—unstoppable, confusing, and occasionally seen juggling in the gym for fun. They allow 53.3 points per game (34th nationally) and have a +177 scoring differential. Their three-point shooting? Mediocre (66th in makes per game), but who needs perimeter fire when your defense turns opponents into nervous toddlers?

Texas, meanwhile, is the Elon Musk of college basketball: high-risk, high-reward, and occasionally setting its own three-point shot on fire. They lead the nation in scoring (102.8 PPG) with a +268 differential, but their three-point shooting is so anemic (4.8 makes per game, 283rd) it’s like they’re launching darts at the rim. Their bench? A nuclear arsenal with six players averaging double-digit points. Madison Booker, their star, is a one-woman wrecking crew (17.0 PPG), but can she outscore UCLA’s collective “we’re all stars” mentality?

News & Injuries
UCLA’s recent 88-37 thrashing of Southern featured Angela Dugalic dropping 20 points, proving that when you’re good, you don’t need style points—just a trash can for the opposing team’s morale. Texas’s 95-56 dismantling of JMU saw Booker drop 18, but let’s not forget: their bench scored 42 points in that game. That’s like having a backup band that’s better than the headliner.

Injuries? None reported. Yet. But let’s imagine a scenario where Texas’s star shooter tries to hit a three, airballs, and blames the rim’s “offensive vibe.” UCLA’s Lauren Betts and Kiki Rice, meanwhile, are as healthy as a vegan buffet at a health retreat.

The Absurd Analogy
Imagine UCLA’s defense as a vault guarded by a team of llamas—unpredictable, slightly grumpy, but impenetrable. Texas’s offense is a wildfire: fast, flashy, and doomed to burn out if it can’t adapt. Their three-point shooting? A group of penguins trying to fly. It’s not happening.

Prediction
UCLA’s defense will suffocate Texas’s lackluster three-point shooting, forcing the Longhorns into uncomfortable mid-range fadeaways. Texas’s bench depth is a wild card, but UCLA’s balanced attack (four players averaging 14+ PPG) and elite interior defense will likely hold. The total points will hover around the 137.5 mark, but UCLA’s edge in discipline and depth gives them the edge.

Final Verdict
Pick UCLA (-1.5) to win this “slobberknocker” by a nose—unless Texas’s bench decides to start a protest and sit out en masse. The spread reflects a game closer than the average TikTok dance-off, but UCLA’s “we’ve got nine lives” defense makes them the shrewd play. Bet accordingly, and may your snacks be salty, your popcorn plentiful, and your three-point shot… well, not Texas’s.

Created: Nov. 26, 2025, 3:53 p.m. GMT

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