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Prediction: Tommy Paul VS Alexei Popyrin 2025-06-01

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The French Open is heating up, and we've got a cracking matchup between Tommy Paul and Alexei Popyrin. Paul, the 12th seed, just survived a grueling 5-set match against Karen Khachanov, while Popyrin, the 25th seed, has been quietly making his way through the draw.

Looking at the odds, Paul is the favorite across the board, with prices ranging from 1.53 (BetRivers) to 1.65 (FanDuel). Popyrin, on the other hand, is hovering around 2.25-2.45. The spread markets are also interesting, with BetRivers offering Popyrin +3.5 at 1.79 and Paul -3.5 at 2.0.

Given Paul's recent 5-set match, I'm a bit concerned about his fatigue levels. Popyrin, on the other hand, has had a relatively easier run to the fourth round. However, Paul's overall form and seeding suggest he should still have the edge.

My best bet for this match is Popyrin +2.5 at 1.87 (Bovada). I think Popyrin can keep this match competitive, and the +2.5 handicap gives us a bit of wiggle room in case Paul's fatigue catches up with him. Additionally, the over 40.0 total games at 1.87 (Bovada) is also tempting, given the potential for a closely contested match.

So, there you have it - Popyrin +2.5 is my top pick for this matchup. Let's see if the Aussie can pull off the upset!

Created: May 30, 2025, 6:17 p.m. GMT

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