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Prediction: UNLV Rebels VS Boise State Broncos 2025-12-05

Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels: A Mountain West Showdown of Legacy vs. Momentum

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a clash of titans in the 2025 Mountain West Championship Game: the Boise State Broncos (8-4) vs. the UNLV Rebels (10-2). This isn’t just a football game—it’s a choose-your-own-adventure novel where the Broncos’ “10-year winning streak” meets the Rebels’ “four-game hot streak.” Let’s parse the odds, dissect the news, and sprinkle in some humor to determine who’ll hoist the trophy.

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Parsing the Odds: Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly)
The betting lines paint a clear picture: Boise State is the favorite, but not the brute-force favorite. On FanDuel, the Broncos are listed at -200 on the moneyline (implied probability: 66.7%), while UNLV sits at +165 (34.8%). The spread? Boise -5.5 (-115) across most books, with the total set at 59.5 points.

Here’s the breakdown:
- Boise’s Strength: A 10-game winning streak in this rivalry since 2014, including a 56-31 shellacking of UNLV in October. Their defense, however, is leakier than a colander left in a monsoon—allowing 28.5 points per game.
- UNLV’s Edge: The Rebels’ offense, led by QB Anthony Colandrea (3,050 yards, 22 TDs), is a high-octane machine. They’ve averaged 34.8 points per game in their four-game win streak, and their 6-1 ATS record on the road suggests they thrive under pressure (or maybe they just hate hotels).

The Over/Under of 59.5 points? A virtual guarantee. Both teams combined for 1,034 yards in a previous meeting, and UNLV’s offense (69 plays of 20+ yards in the MWC, per the article) and Boise’s porous defense make this a popcorn contest.

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Digesting the News: Injuries, Coaching Changes, and Circuses
Boise State: QB Maddux Madsen returns from a lower leg injury, which is good news unless he’s tripping over his own ambition again (a recurring issue in his highlight reels). Backup Max Cutforth proved he can sling it with a 341-yard, two-TD performance against Utah State, but let’s be real—Madsen’s presence is the Broncos’ secret weapon. Coach Spencer Danielson also warned fans not to “get cute with the math,” presumably referring to UNLV’s 1976 last win against them.

UNLV: Under first-year head coach Dan Mullen (yes, that Mullen, now trading Gators for Rebels), the team has found its groove. Colandrea’s arm is as reliable as a Swiss watch, and the offense ranks first in the Mountain West in explosive plays. But here’s the rub: UNLV’s red-zone defense is worse than a toddler guarding a candy store. If Boise’s offense stops choking (they’ve been held to 25 points in their last two games), the Rebels’ D might as well pack their bags.

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Humorous Spin: Football, Metaphors, and a Touch of Absurdity
Let’s get absurd: Boise State’s defense is like a sieve that’s been challenged to a sieve-throwing contest. They’ll let UNLV’s offense through, but hey, at least they’ll have a world record. Meanwhile, UNLV’s offense is a circus acrobat on Red Bull—explosive, unpredictable, and likely to drop the ball if the lights get too bright.

As for the weather? Rain is forecasted in Boise, which means:
- The field will be slicker than a backroom poker game.
- Turnovers will fly like confetti at a championship parade.
- Someone (probably a punter) will slip and land in the end zone, ending the game in a sudden-death “splash touchdown.”

And let’s not forget the promotional chaos: fuboTV wants your credit card info for $49.99/month, while SiriusXM offers audio coverage on channels 83 and 383. If you’re watching on a smartphone, good luck—your data plan will die a slow, agonizing death.

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Prediction: The Final Whistle Blows…
Boise State Broncos 34, UNLV Rebels 31

Why? The numbers say so. Boise’s historical dominance (12-3 all-time, 10 straight wins), Madsen’s return, and UNLV’s shaky red-zone defense tilt the scales. But here’s the twist: UNLV +5.5 (-105) covers the spread. The Rebels’ offense will hang 30+ points, and Boise’s defense? Well, they’ll let Colandrea do his thing.

As for the Over/Under? Over 59.5 (-110) is a no-brainer. These teams will combine for 62 points, or maybe 70 if the rain turns the field into a Slip ‘N Slide.

In the end, Boise State wins the game, but UNLV steals the narrative. After all, what’s a championship without a little drama, a dash of rain, and a QB named Colandrea trying to spell “victory” without a dictionary?

Now go bet your lunch money. I’ll be in the stands, eating nachos and laughing at the underdogs.

Created: Dec. 5, 2025, 1:57 p.m. GMT

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