Prediction: Wofford Terriers VS Gardner-Webb Bulldogs 2025-12-15
Wofford Terriers vs. Gardner-Webb Runninâ Bulldogs: A Statistical Car Crash with a Side of Comedy
Ladies and gentlemen, gather âround for a matchup so lopsided, it makes a seesaw feel balanced. On Monday, December 15, 2025, the Wofford Terriers (6-4) roll into Boiling Springs as 9.5-point favorites against the Gardner-Webb Runninâ Bulldogs (1-11). Letâs break this down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a stand-up economist at a bar.
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Woffordâs offense is like a slow cooker set to âsimmerâ: 73.6 points per game (268th in college basketball). Their defense? A sieve with a sieve. They allow 75.9 points per game (246th), giving them a -23 scoring differential. Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb is the basketball equivalent of a toddler with a crayonâ69.1 points scored (322nd) and 89.3 points allowed (359th). Their -243 differential is so bad, it makes the Titanic look like a life raft.
The spread? A generous 9.5 points for Wofford, who havenât covered as a favorite of this magnitude this season (0-1). Gardner-Webb, meanwhile, has covered 2/10 times as underdogs by 9.5+ points. Their lone win? A 77-63 home victory over Brevard, which feels less like a basketball game and more like a mercy rule.
Key players? Woffordâs Kahmare Holmes (18.0 PPG, 2.6 3PG) is their lone offensive spark, while Gardner-Webbâs Jacob Hogarth (12.2 PPG) is shooting 56.3% over his last 10 gamesâimpressive, but like finding a $20 bill in a landfill.
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Gardner-Webbâs recent win over Brevard was so lopsided, Brevardâs coach probably filed a complaint with the league. The Bulldogs rank ninth in the Big South in assists (10.3 per game), led by Jacob Hudsonâs 1.9 APG. Thatâs like saying your toddler âhelpsâ with dinner by stirring the soup⌠once.
Wofford, meanwhile, is 2-3 on the road and 2-4 in games decided by 10+ points. Their defense allows opponents to shoot 45.7%, which is 4.6% better than Gardner-Webbâs 41.1% shooting. In other words, Woffordâs defense is the reason why Gardner-Webbâs offense exists.
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Imagine Gardner-Webbâs defense as a âDo Not Disturbâ sign made of tissue paper. Woffordâs offense? A guy with a megaphone yelling, âIâM NOT HELPING.â The spread is 9.5 points, which is about how many seconds itâll take for Gardner-Webb to realize theyâre in the wrong arena.
Woffordâs -23 scoring differential is like a diet that only works in theory. Gardner-Webbâs -20.2 average deficit per game? Thatâs how much your plants wilt when you forget to water them.
As for the over/under (153.5 points), the combined average for these teams is 142.7â10.8 points below the line. But their opponents have averaged 11.7 more than the total. Translation: This game will either be a scoring frenzy (unlikely) or a statistical anomaly (very likely).
Prediction: The Unavoidable Train Wreck
Woffordâs implied probability to win is ~85% (based on -150 odds), while Gardner-Webbâs is ~7% (based on +550). To put that in perspective, Gardner-Webbâs chances of winning are about the same as me understanding crypto.
Final Verdict: Wofford wins by 12, covering the 9.5-point spread. The Terriersâ offense will sputter like a lawnmower in a hurricane, but Gardner-Webbâs defense will be so busy mailing it in, theyâll accidentally turn their own gym into a Wofford highlight reel.
Bet: Wofford -9.5. Unless you enjoy watching a team with a -243 differential try to play âhero ballââin which case, good luck, and may your bets be as futile as Gardner-Webbâs fast breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. If you bet on Gardner-Webb, your therapist will charge you extra.
Created: Dec. 15, 2025, 6:59 p.m. GMT