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Prop Bets: Adrian Mannarino VS Jordan Thompson 2025-08-07

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Adrian Mannarino vs. Jordan Thompson: A Grand Slam of Embarrassment for Jordan?

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a match where Adrian Mannarino will likely serve up another slice of vintage brilliance against Jordan Thompson, per the odds and history. Let’s break it down with the precision of a perfectly placed drop shot.

The Stats & Odds
- Head-to-Head: Mannarino leads 5-4. Thompson, clearly the underdog here, needs to channel his inner ā€œI Can’t Wait to Retireā€ energy.
- Moneyline: Mannarino is the consensus favorite at -200 (implied probability: ~66.7%) across books. Thompson’s +175 line (implied: ~35.7%) screams ā€œbet on me if you’re feeling lucky.ā€
- Spreads: Mannarino is -0.5 at most books (e.g., BetOnline.ag: -0.5 at 1.83). Thompson’s +0.5 line (2.0) is basically the tennis equivalent of free insurance.
- Totals: The Over/Under is 22.5 games. Over is priced at ~54.6% implied (1.83 odds), Under at ~52.3% (1.91).

Why Mannarino Wins
The Frenchman is ā€œvintage formā€ incarnate, and Thompson’s resume includes exactly zero ā€œupset specialistā€ credentials. Cincinnati’s conditions? Neutral at best for both, but Mannarino’s 5-4 edge in their rivalry suggests Thompson’s best shot at victory is probably a Hail Mary… and even then, it’s a long shot.

Prop Bet Pick
- Take the Under 22.5 games. These two are not here to play 25-game marathons. Mannarino’s defense is a brick wall, and Thompson’s serve? Let’s just say it’s not the fastest in the ATP. Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Likely.

Final Prediction
Mannarino in straight sets, 6-3, 6-2. Thompson will win exactly zero games in the second set. The crowd will ask, ā€œIs this a practice match?ā€ and the umpire will reply, ā€œNo, it’s a betting line.ā€

Bet Mannarino -0.5 if you dare. Or just take the Under and let these two bore it out. šŸŽ¾šŸ’°

Created: Aug. 7, 2025, 12:51 p.m. GMT