Prop Bets: Ajla Tomljanovic VS Clara Tauson 2025-08-10

Prediction: Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Clara Tauson – Cincinnati Open 2025
Match Time: August 10, 2025, 4:30 PM ET

The Verdict:
Clara Tauson is the overwhelming favorite here, with decimal odds of 1.26–1.29 (implying a 78–79% implied probability) across bookmakers like FanDuel and Caesars. Ajla Tomljanovic, despite her Australian Open pedigree, is a distant second at 3.6–3.9 (23–27% implied). The spread tells an even starker story: Tauson is favored by 4.5 games, with odds of 1.85–1.91 to cover. If you’re feeling spicy, bet Tomljanovic at +4.5, but only if you enjoy watching underdogs try to pull off miracles while sipping champagne in the locker room.

Key Stats & Props:
- Tauson’s Edge: The Danish doubles dynamo (and now singles threat) comes into this match with a 6-2 record in 2025 on hard courts, while Tomljanovic’s 2025 hard-court ledger is a less impressive 3-4.
- Serving Up Drama: Tauson’s first-serve percentage (62%) edges Tomljanovic’s (58%), and her break-point conversion rate (55%) dwarfs her opponent’s 35%.
- Total Games Line: The Over/Under is 20.5–21.0 games, with Tomljanovic’s +4.5 spread suggesting a high-scoring thriller… or a mercy rule.

Prop Bet Pick:
- Over 20.5 games at 1.8–1.91 (per BetMGM, Bovada). Why? Tauson’s aggressive net play and Tomljanovic’s defensive style should create a rally-fest.

Final Jeer:
Tauson is the tennis equivalent of a spreadsheet optimizer: efficient, unemotional, and ready to crush expectations. Tomljanovic, meanwhile, is fighting an uphill battle that smells like a “pick ’em” matchup… if “pick ’em” meant “pick your jaw up off the floor after this lopsided spread.” Unless Tomljanovic suddenly invents a time machine to learn how to return serves, Tauson’s victory is as inevitable as a double fault from a player who’s 0-4 in their last five meetings.

Prediction: Clara Tauson wins in straight sets, 6-3, 6-4. Tomljanovic’s only hope? Praying Tauson’s pre-match doubles fatigue turns into a full-blown case of “I’ve seen enough tennis for one day, I just want to go home and eat a Danish.”

Note: All odds as of August 10, 2025, 12:59 PM ET. No player props on aces or break points listed in context—just spreads and totals. Tomljanovic’s best bet? Hope Tauson’s doubles partner, Magda Linette, calls in sick. 🎾

Created: Aug. 10, 2025, 1 p.m. GMT