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Prop Bets: Alabama Crimson Tide VS Florida State Seminoles 2025-08-30

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Alabama vs. Florida State: A Comedy of Errors (With a Side of Dominance)

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a Week 1 spectacle where Alabama (-14) stomps into Doak Campbell Stadium like a Heisman trophy winner’s ego in September. The Crimson Tide, fresh off a 9-4 "we’re just getting warmed up" season, face a Florida State team that went 2-10 last year—yes, really. The Seminoles’ defense? A sieve. Their offense? A flickering candle in a hurricane. Alabama’s defense, meanwhile, allowed 17.4 points per game in 2024. Math lesson: 17.4 minus Roydell Williams’ 2.0 yards per carry equals a nap for Nick Saban.

The Spread: Alabama is a 13.5- to 14.5-point favorite across books. FanDuel has the total at 48.5 (betting labs predict the under, and honestly, who could blame them?).

Player Props to Steal Your Cash (and Your Time):
1. Ryan Williams (AL) Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-114): This freshman finished 2024 with 865 yards and 8 TDs, averaging 68+ yards in his first five games. Give him a ball, and he’ll probably outperform your dating life.
2. Roydell Williams (FSU) Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-114): The Seminoles’ RB averaged 13.3 yards per game last season. Alabama’s defense? A brick wall with a PhD in "no." Under 27.5 is a free pick unless FSU’s offense magically invents teleportation.
3. Ty Simpson (AL) Over 247.5 Passing Yards (-114): Simpson, the new QB, is a "pocket passer" with 381 career yards. Facing FSU’s new secondary? It’s like handing a fish a bicycle. The over feels… inevitable.

Why Alabama? Because Florida State’s 2023 schedule included a 3-9 team that lost to a junior college in the regular season. Alabama’s offense, led by Simpson and Williams, should torch a defense that allowed 320.1 total yards per game last year. The SportsLine model says the under hits 58% of simulations, so bettors, stock up on melatonin.

Final Prediction: Alabama wins 35-14, Ryan Williams hits 90+ yards, Roydell Williams gets a taxi ride to the bench, and Ty Simpson’s stat line makes you question why he’s not already on a Wheaties box. Bet the under 48.5—Florida State’s offense will be too busy crying to score 50.

Disclaimer: This isn’t gambling advice. It’s just the sports equivalent of a psychic octopus with a spreadsheet. 🐙🏈

Created: Aug. 30, 2025, 4:39 p.m. GMT