Prop Bets: Alexei Popyrin VS Daniil Medvedev 2025-07-31
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexei Popyrin: A Tale of Two Canadian Charms
The ATP Canadian Open’s third-round clash between Daniil Medvedev and Alexei Popyrin is a battle of contrasting narratives. Medvedev, the former World No. 1, arrives with a 4-1 head-to-head edge and a 15-8 hardcourt record this year, while Popyrin clings to his seven-match Canadian Open winning streak like a toddler with a juice box. The odds? Medvedev is a near-unanimous favorite, with prices ranging from -1000 (1.22 implied probability) to -112 (78.4% implied) across books, while Popyrin’s +350 (25% implied) tag feels like a mercy bet for bookmakers.
Key Stats to Note:
- Medvedev’s 7-2 career record against Popyrin includes a straight-sets dismantling at the Italian Open.
- Popyrin’s Canadian Open magic (7-0 since 2023) meets Medvedev’s 15-8 hardcourt dominance.
- The spread is Medvedev -3.5 games, a token gesture to Popyrin’s hopes.
Player Props?
No specific player props listed, but if you’re feeling spicy, bet on Medvedev to win the first set 6-3 (he’s 7-6 in tiebreaks this year).
Prediction:
Medvedev will win this like he wins most things: methodically, with a smirk, and while Popyrin’s Canadian charm crumbles. The Under 22.5 total games is a toss-up, but with Medvedev’s defensive prowess and Popyrin’s streaky serve, expect a straight-sets rout (6-3, 6-4). Popyrin’s streak? Dead. Medvedev’s quest for 500 tour wins? One step closer.
Final Verdict: Bet Medvedev -3.5. If he loses, the universe implodes.
Note: Implied probabilities calculated via decimal conversion (e.g., 1/1.22 = 81.9% for Medvedev’s best price). Adjust your confidence accordingly.
Created: Aug. 1, 2025, 1:28 a.m. GMT