Prop Bets: Ann Li VS Jessica Pegula 2025-08-31
US Open 2025: Jessica Pegula vs. Ann Li – A Grand Slam of Predictability (With a Side of Hope)
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a tennis spectacle where Jessica Pegula ($1.27 decimal, -450 American) stomps on Ann Li ($3.80 decimal, +320) like she’s flattening a tennis-themed pancake. The odds? Pegula’s implied probability of 79% (per decimal odds) suggests this isn’t a match—it’s a math test. Li’s 26% chance? A valiant underdog’s prayer, akin to betting a squirrel will win a chess tournament.
Why Pegula?
- The No. 4 seed has won titles like they’re free T-shirts at a concert (Austin, Bad Homburg, Charleston) and owns Li 1-0 from their French Open clash.
- She’s a first-serve artist, winning 66% of those points in her last match—because why not make Li’s life harder?
- Her recent wins over Victoria Azarenka and a third-round Cincinnati exit? Just a warm-up act for this Grand Slam stage.
Why Li?
- The 58th-ranked dark horse humbled 16th seed Jil Teichmann Bencic (yes, that’s a thing) and fires aces like they’re tennis-themed confetti (7 in her last match).
- At +320, she’s the “I’ll take the underdog bet because it’s fun” pick. Maybe she’ll pull off another upset? Or maybe she’ll serve into the net three times and gift Pegula a 6-0, 6-1.
Spreads & Totals
- Pegula’s -4.5 spread is for masochists who think “chasing games” is a thrilling hobby. Back her, and you’re basically betting she’ll win by the time you finish this sentence.
- The total games line sits at 21.5 (even odds). With Pegula’s precision and Li’s occasional volatility, the Under feels safer—unless Li decides to turn Flushing Meadows into a rally-based arcade game.
Prop Bet Pick
While not explicitly listed, let’s imagine a prop: “Will Li serve ≥7 aces?” Take YES at +200 if you’re feeling nostalgic for her third-round performance.
Final Verdict
Pegula’s victory is as inevitable as taxes in April. But if you must gamble on chaos, Li’s +320 offers the thrill of hoping a longshot might… just might… lose in two sets.
Pick: Pegula -4.5 (-110) and Under 21.5 (even money). For fun, dabble in Li’s ace prop. You’re welcome. 🎾💥
Created: Aug. 31, 2025, 7:43 a.m. GMT