Prop Bets: Arizona Cardinals VS Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2025-11-30
The Arizona Cardinals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Showdown: A Tale of Two (Injured) QBs
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a masterclass in "Here’s Looking at You, Karen" quarterback play! The Cardinals (3-8) and Buccaneers (5-6) collide in a Week 13 dogfight where Kyler Murray (Arizona’s QB, on IR) and Baker Mayfield (Tampa’s QB, nursing a sprained AC joint) are both watching from the sidelines like they’re streaming the game on their phones.
The Odds, Slightly Less Boring Version:
- Tampa Bay is a -148 favorite to win, which translates to a 59.2% implied probability. That’s about the same chance your Uncle Bob has of remembering to water his plants.
- Arizona is a +250 underdog (28.6% implied probability), which is statistically less likely than me believing a "low-carb" cheesecake exists.
- The total is set at 44.5 points, with the Over/Under priced at even money (-110). Given both teams’ defenses rank in the bottom eight in points allowed, this is basically a free lottery.
Why the Over is a Lock (Or Is It?):
Both defenses are about as reliable as a chair made of Jell-O. Arizona’s Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 300+ yards in two straight games, and Tampa’s secondary allows 243.5 passing yards per game—enough to make your grandma question her life choices. The Over has hit in 8 of Tampa’s last 10 home games and 6 of Arizona’s last 7. If you’re betting the Over, you’re basically just betting that NFL offenses exist.
Player Props Worth Your Hard-Earned Cash:
- Michael Wilson (Cardinals WR): Has hit 100+ yards in two straight games. With Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined, Wilson is the team’s emotional support receiver. Bet him for another big day.
- Tez Johnson (Cardinals WR): Has scored 5 TDs in his last 6 games. If Tampa’s defense looks him in the eye, it might regret it.
The Verdict (Because I’m Paid to Be Right):
This game is a pick’em in all but name. The model says Tampa Bay wins 68% of simulations, but Sports Illustrated’s Iain thinks Arizona pulls off the 27-23 upset. My prediction? A 45-42 shootout where both teams score enough points to make the mathletes cry. Bet the Over—and maybe throw a few dimes on Arizona +3.5 just to hear the gasp when they don’t cover.
Final Score Prediction: Cardinals 31, Buccaneers 28. Because nothing says “NFL drama” like a game decided by a missed extra point. 🏈
Created: Nov. 29, 2025, 10:34 p.m. GMT