Prop Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks VS Detroit Tigers 2025-07-28
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: A Homer-Happy Showdown with a Side of Props
Date: July 28, 2025 | Time: 6:40 PM ET | Venue: Comerica Park
The Verdict:
The Detroit Tigers (61-46) are the clear favorites here, and not just because their offense is a well-oiled batting title contender. With a 63% win rate when favored and a 6th-ranked attack (4.7 runs/game), they’re basically the Elon Musk of baseball—efficient, aggressive, and always threatening to launch a home run. The Diamondbacks (51-55), while packing a 4th-ranked offense (523 runs this season), are just 45.9% when the underdog, which is about as reliable as a fan who forgets to charge their phone for the game.
Key Matchup:
Casey Mize (9-4) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (3-6). Mize’s ERA is a tidy 3.82, while Rodriguez’s 5.12 ERA makes him the MLB version of a leaky faucet. If the Tigers’ bats stay hot (they average 1.2 HRs/game, 8th in MLB), Rodriguez might as well pack his bags for a vacation.
Odds Breakdown:
- Moneyline: Tigers at -111 (implied 52.4%) vs. Diamondbacks at +103 (47.6%).
- Spread: Tigers -1.5 (-110) / Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110).
- Total: 9 runs. Over: -110 / Under: -110.
Why the Tigers Win:
They’re favored for a reason, people. Their .413 slugging percentage (7th) and Riley Greene’s 25 HRs make them a nightmare for pitchers. Plus, Gleyber Torres (.276 BA) is a one-man wrecking crew. The Diamondbacks? They’re counting on Eugenio Suarez (36 HRs, 87 RBI) to carry them, but even he can’t single-handedly outslug an entire lineup.
Why the Diamondbacks Might Shock You:
They’re 6th in HRs (147) and have a .439 slugging percentage (4th). If Rodriguez can avoid giving up 5+ earned runs (his ERA suggests he might), and Ketel Marte’s bat stays scorching, this could get spicy. But let’s be real—Rodriguez’s ERA is a ticking time bomb.
Player Props to Watch:
1. Eugenio Suarez HR Over/Under 0.5: The line is -190 (Over) / +145 (Under). With 36 HRs already, Suarez is basically a one-man HR parade. Bet Over like it’s 2021 and he’s about to go yard.
2. Corbin Carroll Stolen Bases Over/Under 0.5: The line is +320 (Over) / -500 (Under). Carroll’s speed is fun, but “stealing” a base? That’s about as likely as the Diamondbacks winning this game outright.
3. Gleyber Torres Hits Over/Under 0.5: -275 (Over) / +200 (Under). Torres is a hit machine (.276 BA). Lay the -275 and watch him go 3-for-5 with a double.
Final Prediction:
The Tigers win 5-3 in a game that feels longer than a Netflix true crime docuseries. Suarez will hit a HR (locking in that prop), but the Tigers’ offense will outslug the D-backs’ “I’ll get it together next game” mentality.
Betting Take:
Fade the Diamondbacks’ underdog magic and take the Tigers -1.5. If you’re feeling spicy, throw in the Over on total runs—these offenses are like a hot dog eating contest, and neither team is holding back.
TL;DR: Tigers win, Suarez HRs, and Rodriguez gets roasted. Bet accordingly. 🎩⚾
Created: July 28, 2025, 4 a.m. GMT