Prop Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks VS Los Angeles Angels 2025-07-12
Humorous Prediction: The "Great Bat vs. The Great Batting Order"
The Los Angeles Angels (52.4% win rate when favored) and Arizona Diamondbacks (48.4% win rate as underdogs) clash in a game that’s as evenly matched as a tug-of-war over a shared Netflix password. The Diamondbacks, led by Ryne Nelson’s 3.39 ERA, are favored (-120) to stifle the Angels’ 4th-ranked offense (4.3 R/G), while the Angels (+110) hope their "mystery meat" lineup can somehow score runs against Zac Gallen’s 3.39 ERA.
Key Prop Bets to Watch:
- Ketel Marte (Angels): Over 1.5 hits at -150 (he’s hitting .333 vs. Gallen in 30 career ABs).
- Mike Trout: Over 0.5 home runs at +200 (Trout’s HR rate vs. RHPs this season: 0.7%).
- Zac Gallen: Under 2.5 earned runs at -140 (his 3.39 ERA suggests he’ll survive).
Why the Diamondbacks Win (Probably):
Gallen’s 3.39 ERA and 5.5 K/9 (8.5 implied strikeouts) vs. the Angels’ .220 batting average. The Angels’ "offense" (4.3 R/G) will likely resemble a game of whiffle ball against Nelson’s sinker.
Why the Angels Might Shock You:
If Trout (1.5 HR prop at +200) wakes up from his HR slump (he’s hit 1 HR in 37 ABs vs. RHPs this season) and the Diamondbacks’ bullpen implodes (they’ve given up 5.25 ERA in July).
Total Runs: Over 8.5 (-110)
Because when these two teams play, it’s like a fireworks show at a hot dog eating contest—someone’s going to overdo it.
Final Score Prediction:
Arizona 5, LA 3. Because even if Trout hits a HR, the Angels’ bullpen will crumble like a house of cards in a hurricane.
Implied Probabilities:
- Diamondbacks: 53.3% (from -120)
- Angels: 47.6% (from +110)
- Over/Under: 50/50 (both at -110).
Note: Props not included in final score. But if Marte gets 3 hits, send help. 🚨
Created: July 12, 2025, 10:25 p.m. GMT