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Prop Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks VS Los Angeles Dodgers 2025-08-29

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers: A Home Run Party with a Side of Heartburn

The Setup:
The Arizona Diamondbacks (66-69) limp into Dodger Stadium, where the Los Angeles Dodgers (77-57) will likely treat their fans to a clinic in "How to Win a Game Without Breaking a Sweat." The Dodgers are -150 favorites, which means you’d need to bet $150 to win $100 on them. If you’re feeling spicy, though, the D-backs are +260 underdogs—because why not bet on a team that’s lost 69 games? It’s a gamble only a masochist would love.

The Prop Picks:
1. Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+350):
The "Daily Dinger" article screams your name, bettor. Freeman’s slugging .501 and facing Zac Gallen (1.5 HR/9 allowed) makes this a no-brainer. The odds are +350, which translates to a 22% chance. Freeman’s got a 50% chance to make you rich if he connects.

1. Zac Gallen Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135):
   Gallen’s K-rate is pedestrian (4.5 K/9), and his 5.13 ERA suggests he’s more "meh" than menace. Bet the Under (-135) and laugh as he’s shelled for 5+ runs.

1. Over 8.5 Team Total Runs (-110):
   With Gallen’s 1.5 HR/9 and the Dodgers’ .267 ISO (slugging minus batting average), this game could blow past 8.5 runs. Bet the Over and enjoy the fireworks.

The Prediction:
The Dodgers will win 6-2, but not because they’re good. No, they’ll win because the Diamondbacks’ offense is a leaky faucet (2.86 team ERA, 24th in MLB). Freeman will hit a solo HR in the 3rd inning, and the Dodgers will add 3 insurance runs in the 7th. Gallen will strike out 3 batters and exit to boos, while Blake Snell will pitch like a Cy Young contender.

Why?
- Freeman’s Odds: At +350, he’s a 22% favorite to go deep. That’s better than your chances of finding a functioning A/C in August.
- Gallen’s Struggles: His 5.13 ERA and 1.314 WHIP scream "don’t trust me," and the Under 4.5 Ks (-135) is a steal.
- Dodgers’ Lineup: They’ll feast on Gallen’s 4.5 BB/9 and 5.13 ERA like it’s a buffet.

Final Score:
Los Angeles Dodgers 6, Arizona Diamondbacks 2
Freddie Freeman HRs, Zac Gallen gets roasted, and the D-backs fans go home early to avoid the shame.

Bonus Prop to Avoid:
Diamondbacks Moneyline (+260): Unless you’re betting on your ex to text you, don’t.

Key Stat:
Zac Gallen’s 1.5 HR/9 allowed vs. a Dodgers lineup that slugs .475. That’s a recipe for disaster, not a game.

Final Thought:
This game is less of a contest and more of a Dodger practice session. Bet accordingly, and maybe take Freeman’s HR prop to feel like a genius. You’re welcome.

Created: Aug. 30, 2025, 1:35 a.m. GMT