Prop Bets: Arizona State Sun Devils VS Mississippi State Bulldogs 2025-09-06

"Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: A Token Spread for the Token Underdogs?"

When/Where: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 7:30 PM ET (Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS). Stream on ESPN2 or via the ESPN App (subscribers only).

The Stakes: Both teams are 1-0, but Arizona State’s “ranked” status feels less impressive after they won their opener against Northern Arizona by 38-19 while going 1-for-10 on third downs. Mississippi State, meanwhile, crushed Southern Miss 34-17 but might still be haunted by their 2024 loss to the Sun Devils, which ended with 346 rushing yards and 40+ minutes of clock-eating.

The Numbers:
- Moneyline: Arizona State (-250) / Mississippi State (+200).
Implied probabilities: Sun Devils 71%, Bulldogs 33%.
- Spread: Arizona State -6.5 (-110) / Mississippi State +6.5 (-110).
- Total: 58.5 points (most books), with even-money odds on Over/Under.

Why It’s a Pick’em in Everything But the Odds:
Arizona State’s offense is a well-oiled tank, but their defense? A sieve. Mississippi State’s defense, meanwhile, might finally get a chance to prove they’re not just a “good against 3-5 teams” unit. The spread of -6.5 feels like the oddsmakers are mocking Mississippi State for showing up to the game.

Player Props? Not here. The JSON provided no individual player props, which is either a blessing or a crying shame. Let’s assume someone is betting on “Arizona State RB to gain exactly 346 rushing yards” as revenge.

Prediction:
Arizona State wins outright… but just barely. Expect a low-scoring slog where the Sun Devils’ offense methodically dinks and dunks their way to a 20-14 victory. The Bulldogs’ defense will sputter, but their special teams might finally do something exciting—like a punt return for a TD, or maybe a mascot sprinting into the end zone unimpeded.

Bet: Take Arizona State -6.5 if you enjoy watching overpriced favorites grind out wins. Lay the points on Mississippi State if you’re masochistic and/or have a death wish.

Final Score Prediction: Arizona State 20, Mississippi State 14. (But don’t @ me if the Bulldogs pull a Hail Mary and win 35-34 after a 98-yard TD pass. I told you to take the Over.)*

Created: Sept. 6, 2025, 9:02 p.m. GMT