Prop Bets: Athletic Bilbao VS Slavia Praha 2025-11-25
Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Bilbao: A Champions League Survival Story
By The Sportswriter with a Calculator and a Sense of Humor
The Matchup:
On November 25, 2025, Slavia Praha (2-11-1 in the Czech First League) and Athletic Bilbao (1-3-0 in the Champions League) clash in a do-or-die Champions League battle. Both teams are mathematically alive but emotionally dead. Slavia has two draws and two losses in Europe, while Athletic has one win (vs. Qarabag) and three losses—including a 4-0 drubbing by Barcelona.
The Odds (Because Math > Feelings):
- Athletic Bilbao: 2.45 (implied probability: 40.8%)
- Slavia Praha: 3.10 (implied probability: 32.3%)
- Draw: 3.10 (implied probability: 32.3%)
The numbers scream: Athletic is the slight favorite, but this feels like a coin flip with a 33% chance of a tie. BetRivers even offers a handicap of 0 on Athletic’s away win at 1.81, because why not?
Why Athletic Might Win (Spoiler: They’re Not):
- They’ve kept two clean sheets in four games, which is more than Slavia can say (zero).
- Gorka Guruzeta is the top anytime goal scorer at +210 odds, which means bookmakers think he’ll score 1/5 times. That’s not great, but it’s better than Slavia’s Tomas Chory at +300.
Why Slavia Might Win (Spoiler: They’re Not Either):
- They’re undefeated in 16 domestic games, but Europe is a different beast.
- Lukas Provod has a 1/5 chance of scoring anytime (+550), which is basically a lottery ticket.
The Player Props Worth Your Time (And Slightly Less Money):
1. First Goal Scorer:
- Gorka Guruzeta (+550) vs. Tomas Chory (+750).
- BetRivers says Chory’s first goal is +750, which is about as likely as a snowstorm in July.
2. Shots Over/Under:
- Tomas Chory (4.5 shots: Over +230 / Under -240).
- Chory’s got the legs to fire, but don’t bet your grandma’s wig on it.
3. Assists:
- Oihan Sancet (0.5 assists: Over +420) and Gorka Guruzeta (0.5: Over +380).
- Assists? More like assists to the manager’s early retirement.
The Prediction (With a Side of Sarcasm):
This game will be a 0-0 snoozefest, with both teams trading missed chances and Athletic’s defense surviving by sheer luck. The only goal of the season will come from a corner kick off the bench, scored by a ref who forgot to blow the whistle.
But If You Must Bet:
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.79 (BetRivers).
- Gorka Guruzeta to score anytime (+210).
- Tomas Chory to take over 4.5 shots (+230).
Final Score Prediction: Slavia Praha 0, Athletic Bilbao 0. The real winner? The bookmakers.
Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 7:14 p.m. GMT