Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves VS Detroit Tigers 2025-09-20
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: A Tigers’ Tale of Power and Prop Bets
Date: September 20, 2025 | Time: 1:11 PM ET | Location: Comerica Park
The Setup:
The Detroit Tigers (-122) aim to extend their winning streak to six games, leveraging their 9th-ranked offense (4.8 R/G) against a Braves rotation that’s as reliable as a broken sprinkler—Joey Wentz (5-6, 4.41 ERA) faces Keider Montero (5-3, 4.32 ERA). The Tigers’ 58.9% win rate as favorites? They’re basically the sports betting version of a guaranteed Netflix series.
Why the Tigers Win:
- Montero’s Magic: The Tigers’ starter has a 63% win rate when favored, and Montero’s 6.3 K/9 (3.5 K prop at -105) could dominate a Braves lineup that’s 24th in contact (23.4% swinging strike rate).
- Torkelson’s Torment: Spencer Torkelson (+310 to hit 1.5+ HRs) is a prop bet goldmine. His .335 OBP and 105-game power surge make him a must-play.
- Braves’ Weakness: Atlanta’s 22nd-ranked ERA (4.41) and 23rd in HRs allowed (173) can’t survive a Tigers team hitting 190 HRs.
Why the Braves Might Succeed (If You’re Superstitious):
- Ronald Acuna Jr. (+350 to hit 0.5+ HRs) could pull off a solo shot, but his .245 BA and 32.7% underdog win rate? Not likely.
Prop Bets to Steal:
1. Over 9.0 Runs (-110): Tigers’ 52.3% over rate and Braves’ 44.7% over rate = a fireworks show.
2. Torkelson 1.5+ Hits (-310): His .261 BA and 105-game power make this a lock.
3. Wentz >4.5 Ks (-110): Unlikely, but the 4.5 K line is a trap. Montero’s 6.3 K/9 says otherwise.
Final Prediction:
The Tigers (-1.5) win 6-3, with Torkelson going 2-for-4 with a HR and Montero striking out 5. The Braves’ only hope? A miracle and a prayer—maybe both.
Key Stat: The Tigers have won 59.6% of games when favored -122 or shorter this season. Bet accordingly, or cry in the stands. 🐅⚾
Created: Sept. 20, 2025, 3:29 p.m. GMT