Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves VS Oakland Athletics 2025-07-10
Braves vs. A’s: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Lot of Runs)
The Atlanta Braves, currently sporting a losing streak that could make a vegan cry, hit the road to face the Oakland Athletics, who’ve turned their July slugfest into a .537 slugging percentage. Let’s break this down with the mathematical precision of a tired math teacher.
The Pitching Matchup
Bryce Elder (2-6, 5.92 ERA) for Atlanta vs. Mitch Spence (2-4, 4.06 ERA) for Oakland. Elder’s ERA is about as reliable as a toaster in a thunderstorm, while Spence offers the hope of a 4.06 ERA—still not great, but hey, it’s a 1.84 ERA differential!
The Moneyline
- Braves (-133): Implied probability of 56.8% (FanDuel’s -133 odds). Bet $133 to win $100. Because nothing says “confidence” like giving up 1.5 runs on a spread.
- A’s (+238): Implied probability of 29.5%. Bet $100 to win $238. For those who enjoy gambling on teams that hit home runs like they’re on a clearance sale.
Totals
- Over 10.5 (-105): With Oakland’s .537 slugging percentage since July 1 and Atlanta’s “meh” offense, the Over hits 52.3% of the time (decimal odds: 1.91). Bet $105 to win $95. Because “underwhelming” and “dangerous” somehow add up to “explosive.”
Player Props
- Lawrence Butler HR Over 1.5 (-125): The A’s slugger has 13 homers already. Bet the Over 1.5 at -125 (implied 55.6%). He’s not done yet.
- Matt Olson HR Under 1.5 (-140): The Braves’ Olson (17 HRs) faces a pitcher (Spence) who’s allowed 11 HRs in 7 starts. Bet the Under 1.5 at -140 (implied 58.3%). Because hope and math rarely mix.
The Verdict
The Braves are favored, but their offense is about as loud as a whisper in a library. The A’s? They’re hitting like they’re on a “buy one, get one free” deal at the plate. Take the Over 10.5 and root for a slugfest—because if there’s one thing these teams can agree on, it’s turning baseball into a home run derby.
Final Pick: Over 10.5 Runs (+100)
Because July is the month of the bomb, baby. 🎉⚾
Created: July 9, 2025, 10:24 p.m. GMT