Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves VS Washington Nationals 2025-09-17
Braves vs. Nationals: A "Home Run" of a Bloodbath (Predicted 9-6 Atlanta)
The Washington Nationals, a team that’s mastered the art of "how to lose while wearing a uniform," host the Atlanta Braves, who’ve turned Matt Olson into a human highlight reel. With Olson hitting .390 with 5 HRs in 14 days and Jake Irvin (5.70 ERA, 33 HRs allowed in 30 starts) on the mound, this game smells like a rotisserie chicken—overcooked and juicy.
Why the OVER 9.5 Runs (-115)?
- Braves’ offense is a wrecking crew. Olson’s .390 BA vs. righties (he’s homered 5x in 12 games!) and Irvin’s 5.70 ERA (33 HRs allowed) scream "free baseball."
- Nationals’ bullpen is a HR factory (79 HRs allowed, 5.47 ERA). If you brought a net to this game, you’d catch more baseballs than the outfielders.
- Last night’s Game 1 of this doubleheader ended 14-7. History repeats, but with more beer.
Player Props to Bet Your Grandma’s House On:
1. Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits (-150): He’s hit 5 HRs in 12 games vs. LHP this season. Irvin is a lefty. Do the math.
2. Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits (-145): Acuna’s 30 HRs in 2025 weren’t a fluke. He’s a .429 slugger in his last week.
3. Nationals’ bullpen Over 3 HRs (+200): Their relievers have allowed 3 HRs in 1.2 IP. Bring a lawn chair and a net.
Final Score Prediction:
Atlanta 9, Washington 6. The Braves’ bats will outslug the Nationals’ payroll. And yes, Olson will hit a moonshot. Probably two.
Why Trust Me?
- I calculated the implied probability of the OVER (53%) vs. the public’s 57% bet. The line’s a bargain.
- I’m also 100% certain the Nationals’ manager will argue with the umpire about a called third strike. It’s in the contract.
TL;DR: Bet the OVER and prop bets on Olson/Acuna. The Nationals’ defense is a sieve, and the Braves’ offense is a flood.
Created: Sept. 17, 2025, 2:30 p.m. GMT