Prop Bets: Atlanta Dream VS Minnesota Lynx 2025-07-27
WNBA Showdown: Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx – A One-Way Street?
The Minnesota Lynx (22-4) are about to make a very strong case for "Best Team in the WNBA" as they host the Atlanta Dream (14-10) on Sunday. With a 79.4% implied win probability (thanks to those -386 odds), the Lynx are less a team and more a well-oiled statistical machine. The Dream? They’re hoping to play spoiler, but their 24.9% chance of pulling off an upset is about as likely as me understanding why someone would bet on the under in this game.
The Spread & Total
Lynx -8.5 (-110) is the line, and honestly, it’s almost cruel to even offer a spread here. Minnesota’s home record is 14-0 this season—yes, zero losses at home. Meanwhile, the Dream are 4-10 as underdogs. If you’re feeling spicy, take the Lynx to cover, but really, just enjoy watching them dominate.
The total is set at 158.5, and with these two teams averaging 169.3 points per game, the over is a no-brainer. These offenses are like two food trucks at a picnic—everyone’s bringing the heat.
Player Props to Watch
- Allisha Gray (Points Over 16.5): Gray’s season average is 19.0, so 16.5 feels like betting she won’t get whiplash from missing the rim. The line is -113 for the over, which is basically saying, “We’re very confident she’ll score.” Take the over.
- Napheesa Collier (Points Over 20.5): Collier’s averaging 23.1 points, so 20.5 is just the bookmakers being polite. The over is -110, which is as safe a bet as leaving your phone on the table at a coffee shop. Still, take the over.
Why It’s a Lock
The Lynx have a 93.8% win rate when favored by -386 or shorter. That’s not a stat—it’s a threat. Napheesa Collier’s recent 26-point explosion against the Aces? That’s just her warm-up act. The Dream’s best hope is to hope for a Collier off-night, but she’s been playing like she’s got a personal vendetta against the scorekeeper.
Final Verdict
This isn’t a game—it’s a math problem. The Lynx are 16-10 against the spread this season, and their defense? Well, good luck, Atlanta. Lay the points, take the over on the points props, and enjoy what might be a masterclass in dominance. The Dream could pull off the upset, but only if the Lynx take a 10-minute timeout to eat a three-course meal.
Predicted Score: Minnesota 89, Atlanta 76. Napheesa Collier: 24 points, 8 rebounds. Allisha Gray: 18 points, 4 assists. Over on both props. The Lynx cover. You’re welcome. 🏀
Created: July 27, 2025, 1:57 p.m. GMT