Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks VS Memphis Grizzlies 2025-07-17

"Hawks Soar, Grizzlies Grounded: A Summer League Thriller (Probably)"

The Atlanta Hawks (-6.5, -110 at DraftKings) aim to keep their Summer League perfect record intact against the Memphis Grizzlies, and let’s be honest—this looks like a math problem: What’s 21.3 PPG (Kobe Bufkin) plus “mystery Memphis rotation”? Answer: A Hawks victory, probably.

Key Stats to Know:
- Bufkin’s brilliance: The Michigan guard is averaging 21.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 5.0 APG—stats that make you forget he’s not Trae Young’s twin brother.
- Grizzlies’ gremlins: Memphis lost to Golden State by 12 Tuesday. Per the odds, they’re favored by just +3.25 (implied probability: 24.4%) on DraftKings’ moneyline. Translation: They’re playing like a team prioritizing beach volleyball over basketball.
- Offensive fireworks: Atlanta’s scoring 100+ twice. The total is set at 185.5, which feels like asking a vegan if they’ve ever considered… meat. The Hawks’ offense is saying “no thanks” to such modesty.

Why the Hawks Win (and Why You Should Bet Them):
Bufkin’s stat line alone makes the Hawks -6.5 spread a near-lock. Memphis’ “trio of Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, and GG Jackson” sounds menacing on paper, but let’s remember: This is Summer League, where “rookie” means “someone who still thinks the NBA G League is a real league.”

Player Props? More Like Player “No Props.”
Sorry, bettors—the provided odds don’t list any player-specific props. Maybe the bookmakers fear someone will bet Bufkin to “record a triple-double or get a free smoothie at Smoothie King.” We’ll settle for the team spread.

Final Prediction:
Atlanta wins 102-93, Bufkin drops 22+ with 6 assists, and Memphis’ fans start Googling “when do the Grizzlies play next?” (Spoiler: Never this summer.)

Numbers don’t lie—they just float in decimal form.
- Hawks ML implied probability: 73.5% (1.36 decimal odds).
- Grizzlies ML implied probability: 30.8% (3.25 decimal odds).
- Total points over/under: 185.5 (odds: -110 across the board).

Verdict: Back the Hawks. Or better yet, back the idea that Summer League is where dreams go to die… unless you’re Atlanta.

Created: July 17, 2025, 5:32 p.m. GMT