Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles VS Cleveland Guardians 2025-07-22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: A Statistical Farce with a Side of Doubles
July 22, 2025 — 10:41 PM ET
The Cleveland Guardians (-136) are favored to stomp the Baltimore Orioles in a game that’s as exciting as a tax audit. The Guardians, who score fewer runs than a vegan at a BBQ (3.8 RPG), face a Orioles squad that’s somehow managed to hit 402 dingers this season—despite playing in a stadium where the grass is taller than their hopes for a playoff berth.
Key Numbers to Know
- Guardians’ Win Rate: 59.5% when favored vs. Orioles’ 44.7% as underdogs.
- Pitching Matchup: Brandon Young (-147 on the moneyline) vs. Joey Cantillo (-170). Both are projected to give up at least 3 ER, per the -115/-110 odds.
- Offense: The Guardians’ 5th-worst offense (3.8 RPG) vs. the Orioles’ 23rd-ranked defense (4.8 RPG allowed).
Prop Bets to Steal (or at Least Stare At)
1. Jose Ramirez’s Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110). The “Boricua Bear” needs one more double to hit 30 on the season—this line’s so low it’s basically a math error.
2. Gunnar Henderson’s Hits: Over 0.5 (-213). He’s hitting .300, but the odds imply he’ll go 0-for-3. Bet accordingly, or don’t—this line’s tighter than a nun’s schedule.
3. Jackson Holliday’s Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+450). The rookie’s legs are priced like they’re running a marathon, not a bases.
4. Brandon Young’s Strikeouts: Under 3.5 (-150). The Orioles’ starter will K fewer than the number of errors he’s committed this season. A bold prediction!
Why the Guardians Win
They’ll score 3 runs, Young will pitch 5 innings, and the Orioles will hit a leadoff HR… but it’ll be the only one.
Why the Orioles Lose
They’ll load the bases in the 9th, then watch helplessly as a flyout to center ends the game. A tragedy in seven acts.
Final Score Prediction
Cleveland 4, Baltimore 2. The Guardians win, but not before the Orioles hit two HRs and make us all question the universe.
Place your bets, but don’t bet your house. Literally, the odds are worse than this game’s offense. 🎲⚾
Created: July 22, 2025, 7:15 p.m. GMT