Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles VS San Diego Padres 2025-09-02

Padres vs. Orioles: A Tale of Two Struggles (with a Side of Props)
The San Diego Padres (-172) and Baltimore Orioles (+241) clash at PETCO Park, where Yu Darvish (5.66 ERA) and Tyler Wells (5.87 ERA) will likely trade runs like they’re at a discount baseball card swap. The Padres, 14.5-game favorites on the implied moneyline probability (63% win chance), have the edge in offense (4.2 runs/game) and pitching (3.64 ERA), while the Orioles (4.3 runs/game, 4.74 ERA) are here for the chaos.

Why the Padres Win?
Because Yu Darvish’s ERA (5.66) is higher than the average MLB fan’s patience. But hey, Manny Machado (.286, 21 HRs) and Luis Arraez (.316 OBP) can outslug Tyler Wells’ 7.6 K/9. The Orioles’ Gunnar Henderson (16 HRs) might hit a home run… or maybe not. His prop is +360 for 0.5 HRs. Spoiler: It’s the latter.

Props to Watch (Because Why Not?)
- Luis Arraez’s Doubles (Over 0.5, +270): If he doesn’t double, consider buying him a new bat.
- Manny Machado’s Hits (Over 2.5, +800): A 27% chance to make you rich? Only if “rich” means “still broke, but gloriously so.”
- Gunnar Henderson’s HRs (Over 0.5, +360): Let’s just admit this is a long shot. Like, literally a long shot—Henderson’s 16 HRs this year were all in the upper deck.

Final Prediction
This game goes Over 8.5 runs (-105) because Darvish and Wells are here to help you forget their names. The Padres win 6-4, but not before Jackson Holliday (+110 for 1.5 hits) singles his way into your Twitter feed’s “Why Is This Happening?” section.

TL;DR: Bet the Over and Luis Arraez’s doubles. Also, don’t bet on Gunnar Henderson’s HRs. Ever.

Created: Sept. 2, 2025, 12:35 p.m. GMT