Prop Bets: Baltimore Ravens VS Buffalo Bills 2025-09-07
BUFFALO, NY ā The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens are set for a touchdown tango on Sunday Night Football, and the odds are as spicy as a hot chicken sandwich from Lamar Jacksonās hometown. Letās break it down with the precision of a QB rating and the humor of a fan in the end zone after a Hail Mary.
The Moneyline & Spread: A Tight Battle
- Baltimore Ravens (-1.5, -1.0): Implied probability of ~55.5% (decimal odds: 1.8ā1.85).
- Buffalo Bills (+1.5, +1.0): Implied probability of ~50% (decimal odds: 2.0ā2.05).
The Ravens are slight favorites, but the Billsā home-field advantage and Josh Allenās trust in Dawson Knox (see below) could make this a yardage yawn.
Total: 50.5 Points
- Over/Under Odds: Evenly priced (1.87ā1.95).
With Lamar Jacksonās 41-td season and Allenās arm, this game could hit the over. But donāt count on itāboth defenses have āIāve seen this play beforeā written all over them.
Player Props: The Real Stars of the Show
1. Dawson Knox ā Over 3.5 Touchdowns
- Why? Knox scored a TD in four straight playoff wins and Allen raves about his āveteran reliability.ā With the Ravensā defense distracted by Stefon Diggs, Knox could literally be the cherry on top of a Bills victory.
- Odds: +200 (implied probability: 33.3%).
- Keon Coleman ā Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
- Why? Coleman averaged exactly 49.5 yards in his first 8 games before injury. If he stays healthy, this prop is a math problem waiting to happen.
- Odds: +150 (implied probability: 40%).
- James Cook ā Under 63.1 Rushing Yards
- Why? Cookās 2024 average (63.1 YPG) is a statistical mirage. With the Ravensā front seven ranked #3 in rush defense, expect Buffalo to āplay it safeā and pass more.
- Odds: -150 (implied probability: 60%).
Final Prediction
The Ravens will win 27ā24, thanks to Lamar Jacksonās red-zone magic and DeAndre Hopkinsā ability to turn 5-yard routes into touchdowns. But donāt sleep on the Billsā āBig Threeā (Allen, Diggs, and a resurgent Coleman) to light up the scoreboard.
Key Takeaway: Bet the Ravensā spread (-1.5) and take Dawson Knoxās over 3.5 TDs. If youāre feeling spicy, take the over on the 50.5-point totalājust pray itās Knox, not your credit card, that gets maxed out.
āThis game isnāt about yardsāitās about math. And maybe a few Hail Marys.ā ā Your Humble Handicapper, 2025 NFL Season.
Created: Sept. 7, 2025, 9:09 p.m. GMT