Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox VS Baltimore Orioles 2025-08-28
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: A Game for the Sleep-Deprived
The Boston Red Sox (-172) are favored to continue their AL East title hunt against the Baltimore Orioles (60-73), a team whose offense is about as loud as a library. With Garrett Crochet (2.38 ERA, 207 Ks in 166⅓ IP) on the mound and the Orioles’ lineup hitting like a group of interns on their first day, this game smells like a snoozefest.
The Numbers That Make You Snore
- Moneyline: Boston is a near 63% favorite (-172). The Orioles? They’re priced at 2.0-3.0, which is about as exciting as a tax audit.
- Spread: The Red Sox are -1.5 runs (-110 to -115) with implied win probability ~57%. The Orioles +1.5 is for folks who enjoy gambling on miracles.
- Total: 7.5 runs (O/U). The “Under” has better odds (1.8-2.06), which makes sense—this game’s scoring could be mistaken for a AAA match.
Prop Bets Worth Your Hard-Earned Cash
1. Drew Rasmussen Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-145): Rasmussen’s implied probability is 58.6% (100/(4.5+100)). With the Orioles’ .241 BA and 8.7 K/ game, this feels like betting on a toddler’s tantrum—inevitable.
2. Orioles 1st 5 Innings Team Total Under 1.5 Runs (-130): Implied probability 56.5%. If the Birds score more than two runs in the first five, I’ll eat my hat… and my entire lunch.
Why It’s a Red Sox Rout
Crochet’s 2.38 ERA and 1.064 WHIP are better than my dating profile. The Red Sox average 5 runs/game, while the Orioles score 3.8? That’s a gap wider than the difference between “offense” and “offenseless.”
Final Verdict
Take the Red Sox (-1.5) and the Under 7.5 runs. And if you must bet on a prop, Rasmussen’s strikeouts over 4.5. This game’s so one-sided, the Orioles might need to pinch-hit with a robot to score.
“Garrett Crochet’s ERA is better than my chances of understanding quantum physics. Stick with the Sox.” 🎩⚾
Created: Aug. 28, 2025, 6:07 p.m. GMT