Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox VS Washington Nationals 2025-07-06
Red Sox vs. Nationals: A Tale of Two Batting Averages (and a Lot of Sighing)
July 6, 2025
The Boston Red Sox (45-45) roll into Washington to face the Nationals (37-52), a team whose pitching staff is about as reliable as a toaster in a monsoon. With Boston’s 6th-ranked offense (4.9 runs/game) facing Washington’s 28th-ranked pitching (5.16 ERA), this game is basically a “pick your poison” buffet for bettors.
Moneyline:
The Red Sox are a -300 favorite, which means oddsmakers think the Nats have about as much chance of winning as a snowball in a hurricane. Washington is a +218 underdog, implying a 31.3% chance to shock the world (and Garrett Crochet’s fastball).
Pitching Matchup:
Garrett Crochet (-145 to throw 7.5+ strikeouts) faces Shinnosuke Ogasawara, who’s basically a “do not pass go” sign for Boston’s lineup. Crochet’s prop bets are all over the board: Over 4.5 hits allowed (-130) and Over 1.5 earned runs (-120). If you’re feeling spicy, take Crochet to throw 18.5+ outs (-130)—he’s not walking it off, promise.
Key Players & Props:
- Jarren Duran (.255, 6 HR, 44 RBI): Over 0.5 doubles (-235) is a near-lock, but if you want drama, take his Over 1.5 total bases (-115).
- James Wood (.288, 23 HR, 67 RBI): Over 0.5 RBIs (-240) is a layup, but his Over 1.5 hits (-235) could be the difference if he wakes up.
- Wilyer Abreu (Nats): Over 0.5 doubles (+260) is a sleeper prop—don’t sleep on the longball-to-doubles conversion.
Why the Nationals Might Survive?
Well, they could take Trevor Story (-115 to hit 1.5+ total bases) and Jacob Young (+700 to hit a first-inning HR) and hope for a miracle. Or bet on Brady House (-115) to steal a base—though his +800 odds to leadoff with a triple might require a time machine.
Prediction:
The Red Sox win 2.5 runs easy, but the Over 8.5 (-110) totals line is a lock. With Boston’s bats and Washington’s bullpen, this game will play like a fireworks sale. Take the Red Sox -1.5 (-160) unless you enjoy watching a team with a 5.16 ERA try to pitch.
Final Jeer:
The Nationals’ best bet? Hope for a rain delay and a mercy rule… or maybe a trade for a real closer. Until then, this is a “buy a ticket, win a toaster” kind of game for Washington.
Stats and odds via provided data. All implied probabilities calculated using standard formulas. No actual snowballs were harmed in the making of this prediction. 🎩⚾
Created: July 6, 2025, 7:47 a.m. GMT