Prop Bets: Buffalo Bills VS Miami Dolphins 2025-11-09

BUFFALO BILLS vs. MIAMI DOLPHINS: WEEK 10 PREDICTION
Where the Dolphins are "swimming upstream" and the Bills are just going for a leisurely lap.

The Spread & Money Line:
The Bills are -546 favorites (implied probability: 84.5%) to wallop the Dolphins, who are +406 underdogs (implied: 19.6%). The spread sits at Buffalo -9.5 (Bills -8.5 to -9.5 across books). Translation: Miami’s "rebuild" is in full effect, and the Bills are here to remind them who’s boss.

Total:
The Over/Under is 50.5 (Over odds: -110 to -115). With the SportsLine model projecting a combined 54+ points, the Over is a no-brainer. Tua Tagovailoa (11 INTs in 9 games) and Josh Allen (2.6 TDs/game vs. Miami) will turn this into a points fest.

Player Props to Bet Before You Laugh:
1. Tua Tagovailoa OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-150): Tua leads the NFL in picks (11 in 9 games). Why stop now? Take the OVER like he’s auditioning for Interception: The Movie.
2. James Cook OVER 100 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-135): The Bills’ workhorse averages 120.8 scrimmage yards. He’s got 6 games over 100 yards already—this is his job.
3. Josh Allen OVER 1.5 Passing TDs (-160): Allen has thrown 2+ TDs in 5/8 games vs. Miami. The Dolphins’ defense? A trade-deadline casualty exhibit.
4. Greg Dulcich OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards (-118): With Miami’s tight ends injured, Dulcich caught 49 yards last week. Take the OVER—this isn’t exactly Tight End U.

Honorable Mentions:
- De’Von Achane OVER 98.5 Total Yards (-115): He’s averaged 111.6 yards in 5 career games vs. Buffalo. The Dolphins need a miracle, and Achane’s your altar boy.
- Dalton Kincaid OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115): The Bills’ TE1 leads the position in 20+-yard receptions (9). He’s got 46 yards in Week 3—double that for fun.

Final Score Prediction:
Buffalo 31, Miami 20 (Bills cover the spread). Tua will throw an interception (probably to a Bills player named “Champagne Problems”), and Miami’s fans will wonder if their team’s rebuild includes a new HVAC system.

Verdict: Bet the Bills -9.5 and the Over 50.5. And maybe take Tua’s interception prop just to spite him. Go Bills, or go home—preferably somewhere with better defense. 🏈

Created: Nov. 9, 2025, 5:08 p.m. GMT