Prop Bets: Carlos Alcaraz VS Mattia Bellucci 2025-08-27
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci: A Foregone Conclusion (With a Side of Humor)
Carlos Alcaraz, the 22-time ATP title holder and Cincinnati Masters champion, is here to make Mattia Bellucci look like a practice partner in Arthur Ashe Stadium. The Italian, ranked No. 65, has a 4-5 record this year and advanced to the second round via a walkover—so, let’s call this a "gift round." Alcaraz, meanwhile, has won 7 straight matches, including a straight-sets dismantling of Reilly Opelka. Their only prior meeting? A 2020 ITF event where Alcaraz won in two sets. Bellucci’s hope? Maybe a time machine.
The Odds Say It All
Bookmakers aren’t just favoring Alcaraz—they’re mocking Bellucci. The head-to-head odds? Alcaraz at 1.01 (BetMGM), Bellucci at 26.0. That’s an implied probability of ~99% for Alcaraz. Even the spread reflects brutal confidence: Alcaraz is -11.5 games at Caesars (odds: 2.20). Bellucci’s +11.5 line? A mathematical impossibility unless he invents a new sport.
Prop Bets to Mock
- Alcaraz -8.5 games at bet365 (odds: 2.00): He’ll likely hit that, though not because of his recent buzz cut (a "mistaken shave" by his brother, per Alcaraz). The memes are already fueling his fire.
- Total games over/under 25.5 (Caesars): Take the over if you’re betting on chaos; the under if you’re betting on Alcaraz’s robot-like consistency.
Why Bellucci Should Pack a Towel
Bellucci’s last ATP match? A loss to Jaume Munar. His first-round "victory"? A walkover after Shang Juncheng retired. Meanwhile, Alcaraz saved set points in qualifying, beat Opelka in three sets, and now faces a player who’s essentially a ATP also-ran.
Prediction
Alcaraz wins in three sets, with Bellucci’s only highlight being a selfie with the legend post-match. The spread? Alcaraz will cover -11.5 like it’s a warm-up. As Frances Tiafoe aptly said of Alcaraz’s new look: "Es horrible. No sé quién le dijo que hiciera eso." But hey, at least the buzz cut’s practical for post-match interviews.
Final Score Prediction: Alcaraz 6-1, 6-2, 6-3. Bellucci’s serve speed: 108 mph. Alcaraz’s return speed: meme-worthy.
Created: Aug. 27, 2025, 11:43 p.m. GMT