Prop Bets: Chicago Bears VS Philadelphia Eagles 2025-11-28
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears: A Black Friday Feast of Futility
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a holiday showdown where the Philadelphia Eagles (-340 ML, -7.0 ATS) strut into Lincoln Financial Field like they own the place (which, fair—this is their house). The Chicago Bears (+3.7 ML, +7.0 ATS) arrive as 8-3 underdogs, armed with a +16 turnover differential (NFL-best!) and the audacity to challenge Philly’s red zone wizardry. Let’s break this down with the precision of a Thanksgiving turkey baster.
The Stats That Matter:
- Eagles’ Red Zone Razzle-Dazzle: At 77.8% efficiency, Philly turns trips inside the 20 into points like a Christmas elf turning tinsel into chaos. The Bears? A pedestrian 57.9%.
- Bears’ Turnover Tango: Chicago’s +16 differential is elite, but their defense is missing three linebackers (T.J. Edwards, Ruben Hyppolite II, Noah Sewell) due to hand/shoulder/forearm injuries. Ouch.
- Saquon Barkley’s Prop Bet: The Eagles’ star is -115 on Over 101.5 rushing/receiving yards. Given his role as Philly’s offensive Swiss Army knife, this feels like betting the sun will rise… but with worse odds.
The Odds, Unvarnished:
- Moneyline Implied Probability: Eagles at 73.3% (340/(340+100)), Bears at 21.2%.
- Spread: Eagles -7 (-115), Bears +7 (-115). The line reflects Philly’s home-field advantage and red zone dominance but ignores Chicago’s turnover magic.
- Total: 44.0 points (Over -105/Under -115 in the first doc, but the JSON shows 43.5-44.5. Let’s call it a 44-point game for simplicity’s sake).
The Verdict:
The Eagles should win this like a Black Friday shopper secures a 50% off coupon—predictable, but not without a scuffle. Their red zone prowess and home-field juice make them a solid bet, but the Bears’ turnover gods (and a leaky Eagles offensive line missing Lane Johnson) could spark a +7 ATS upset.
Prop Pick of the Day:
Take Saquon Barkley Over 101.5 yards (-115). He’s the Eagles’ Swiss Army knife, and Chicago’s run defense is a toaster trying to slice a steak.
Final Score Prediction:
Philadelphia Eagles 27, Chicago Bears 23. A turkey-dinner special where the Bears give Philly a scare but ultimately get stuffed.
Bet with the enthusiasm of a man who’s sure he knows what he’s doing… and then check your fantasy lineup. 🏈
Created: Nov. 28, 2025, 6:26 p.m. GMT