Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs VS Cincinnati Reds 2025-09-19
Cubs vs. Reds: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Over/Unders)
September 19, 2025 – 6:41 PM ET
The Setup:
The Chicago Cubs (-124) roll into Cincinnati like a late-season snowplow, fresh off a four-game winning streak and a playoff berth. The Reds (+106) cling to hope like a wet sock in September, hoping to salvage dignity in a four-game series. Shota Imanaga (9-7, 3.29 ERA) toes the rubber for the Cubs, while Nick Lodolo (8-8) hopes to avoid becoming the latest victim of Chicago’s relentless offense.
The Verdict:
The Cubs are 55.6% favorites to win (implied from -124 odds), while the Reds are a 48.8% long shot (+106). But let’s be real: This is a 70% lock for the Cubs. Why? Because Nico Hoerner is on a 12-game hitting streak with a .458 average in this series. He’s also +350 to hit a home run tonight. That’s a 22% chance? Pfft. Hoerner’s got a 97% chance. The man’s hitting doubles for fun and RBIs for breakfast.
Key Props to Bet (or Avoid):
- Nico Hoerner O/U 0.5 HRs: Take the OVER at +350. Hoerner’s already hit 6 HRs this year. The moon is closer than a Reds win.
- Shota Imanaga Ks: He’s -146 to strikeout 4.5. Take the UNDER if you enjoy disappointment.
- Lodolo’s ERA Prop: The Reds’ starter is -115 to allow >3 ER. Spoiler: He will.
- Cincinnati’s Team Total Runs: Under 8.5 at -110. Bet the UNDER. The Reds have scored 2 runs in their last 3 games.
The Final Score Prediction:
Cubs 5, Reds 2. Imanaga pitches 6 innings, Hoerner hits a solo shot, and the Reds’ fans start planning next year’s draft.
Why Trust Me? Because the Cubs’ .250 BA and 4.9 R/G outclass the Reds’ .246 BA and 4.3 R/G. And because the odds say so. And because humor requires it.
Go Cubs! (And maybe check the weather for Cincinnati—rainouts are 100% likely if the Reds win.) 🐙⚾
Created: Sept. 19, 2025, 4:19 p.m. GMT