Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs VS New York Yankees 2025-07-11
Yankees vs. Cubs: A Tale of Two Slugging Teams (With a Side of Props)
The New York Yankees (-190) stride into this matchup like a five-star steak—marbled, powerful, and statistically likely to satisfy. The Chicago Cubs (+250, per the implied odds) enter as a deliciously underwhelming cheap steak: tender, but with a 35.7% win rate as underdogs that makes you question if they even own a knife.
Why the Yankees Are Favored?
- Moneyline Magic: The Bombers win 65.4% of games when they’re -190 or shorter. Math says “take the Yankees.” Life says “enjoy the fireworks.”
- Home Run Derby: Both teams love to swing for the fences (Yankees: 145 HRs, Cubs: 139), but the Bronx’s electric offense gives them a slight edge in this slugfest.
- Carlos Rodon’s Prop Pick: Bet the Under on his 2.5 earned runs (-125). Let’s be real—Rodon’s ERA is lower than a sarcastic tweet, but even he can’t outdupe the Cubs’ porous lineup.
Cubs’ Hopes? Swing for the Fences (Literally)
The Cubs’ best bet? Hope Kyle Tucker (+350 to hit an HR) or Seiya Suzuki (+380) go yard. Their bats are third in HRs, but their pitching? Not so much. Chris Flexen’s stats are about as reliable as a July surprise in the standings.
Prop Bets to Steal Your Heart (or Wallet):
1. Aaron Judge’s HR Prop: Over 0.5 HR at +163. Why? Because Judge’s a HR machine, and “0.5” is just the bookies’ way of saying “we’re not ready for another Judge HR.”
2. Stolen Base Shenanigans:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Over 0.5 SB at +285. Fun fact: Cubs players attempting SBs are like a vegan at a BBQ—enthusiastic, but unlikely.
- Nico Hoerner’s Under 0.5 SB at -650. Safe bet, but also a sad reminder that Hoerner’s legs are slower than a “W” flag after a rainout.
3. Rodon’s Strikeouts: Over 5.5 Ks at -115. Rodon’s as consistent as a metronome—take the Over if you trust the process.
Final Prediction:
The Yankees win 7-4, buoyed by a Judge HR and Rodon’s 6 innings of “meh” pitching. The Cubs will hit one HR (Suzuki, naturally) and attempt a SB that goes about as well as a toddler on a unicycle. Take the Yankees, but if you’re feeling spicy, throw a buck on Tucker’s HR prop. After all, in baseball, anything’s possible—until it’s not.
Tip your cap, but keep your wallet safe. The Bronx is where the bats (and the odds) are. 🎩⚾
Created: July 11, 2025, 6:42 a.m. GMT