Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs VS New York Yankees 2025-07-12

Yankees vs. Cubs: A Tale of Two Pitchers and a Batting Frenzy
The New York Yankees (-159) host the Chicago Cubs (+138) in a clash that’s less “epic” and more “epic fail” for Carlos Rodon, who’s somehow expected to strike out 6.3 batters. Meanwhile, Chris Flexen (0.83 ERA, 5-0) looks like he’s been pitching in a video game, but hey, maybe the Cubs’ “hitters” will finally hit something besides grounders.

Why the Yankees Should Win:
- Rodon’s got a 3.30 ERA, which is literally the definition of “meh” (not “meh, I’m terrible”).
- The model loves the Over 8.5 runs (9.9 projected), because nothing says “thrilling baseball” like a slugfest.

Why the Cubs Might Shock You:
- Flexen’s ERA is so low, it’s basically a math error. But can he keep it up against Aaron Judge (.356 AVG, 34 HRs)? Probably not.

Player Props to Bet Your Grandma’s Retirement On:
- Aaron Judge Over 1.5 hits (-270): He’s a hitting machine, not a “maybe” machine.
- Giancarlo Stanton Over 0.5 HRs (+168): Let’s hope he doesn’t “chill” and actually chill a few.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 HRs (+430): The kid’s got pop, but let’s not get carried away.

Final Verdict:
The Yankees are favored, Flexen is a mirage, and the Over is your friend. Bet like you’re buying a hot dog at the game—impulsively and with cash you’ll regret using.

Implieded Probabilities:
- Yankees win: ~61.5% (from -159 odds)
- Over 8.5 runs: 51.3% (from 2.0 odds)

Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. It’s just me, being funny and slightly confused about why anyone trusts a 0.83 ERA pitcher. 🎩⚾

Created: July 12, 2025, 4:16 a.m. GMT