Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-09-15

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: A Comedy of Errors (or Errors of the Comedy)
The Pirates are 4-8 in September, the Cubs are 9-4, and the only thing hotter than the weather in Pittsburgh is the Cubs’ chances to win this one.

The Moneyline:
- Cubs (-150): The favorites, with a 60% implied probability to win. They’re like the straight man in a comedy duo—boring but reliable.
- Pirates (+130): The underdogs, with a 43% chance. They’re the punchline that’s still hoping for a standing ovation.

Run Total:
- Over/Under 8.0 runs (even odds). With Braxton Ashcraft (Pirates’ pitcher, 4.99 ERA on the road) vs. Jameson Taillon (Cubs’ pitcher, 4.50 ERA), this is a “let’s see who breaks first” contest.

Key Player Props to Bet on Like Your Retirement Account Depends on It:
1. Bryan Reynolds (Cubs): Over 2.5 hits (-110). Reynolds has 7+ hits in his last 3 games. Bet him to “overachieve” and hit 3 for 3.
2. Michael Busch (Cubs): Over 1.5 RBIs (+100). Busch is a 2-for-2 bet in the RBI department—like a slot machine that only pays out in singles.
3. Braxton Ashcraft (Pirates): Under 3.5 hits allowed (-150). Ashcraft has given up 3+ hits in 4 straight starts. He’s the human equivalent of a sieve.
4. Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Over 4.5 strikeouts (+115). Taillon’s got 4.5 Ks in his last start. He’s a 5-K machine with a 50% chance to hit the Over.

Why the Cubs Win (Statistically Speaking):
- The Pirates are 4-8 in September, and their lineup looks like a grocery list for a vegan.
- The Cubs’ 54% implied win probability is backed by a 9-4 September record. They’re the “we’re not here to win, we’re here to not lose” team.

Final Verdict:
The Cubs are the straight man to the Pirates’ punchline. Bet the Over on runs if you want drama, but the Cubs -1.5 (-200) is the safest bet. After all, the Pirates’ offense is like a Wi-Fi signal in a basement—there’s hope, but not much.

Go Cubs! (And maybe take Reynolds for 3 hits. He’s due.) 🐘⚾

Created: Sept. 15, 2025, 5:19 p.m. GMT