Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-09-17
Cubs vs. Pirates: A Tale of Two Offenses (and One Great Pitcher)
The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates meet in a game thatās less a baseball match and more of a math problem: How many ways can a team fail to hit a baseball? The answer,ę¾ē¶, is āa lot,ā especially for the Pirates, who rank 28th in MLB batting average and last in runs scored. With Pittsburghās Paul Skenes (1.92 ERA) facing the Cubsā Cade Horton (2.70 ERA), this looks like a low-scoring duel where the real stars are the pitchersā ERAs and the collective sigh of every Pirate fan.
The Verdict?
Under 8 Runs (-115, DraftKings): Both starters have been masterclasses in efficiency. Skenes has held opponents to 4 ER in 23 innings, while Hortonās 0.84 ERA since the All-Star break suggests heās mastered the art of āpitching, donāt pitch.ā The Piratesā offense? Theyāve scored 3 or fewer runs in 14 straight games. This isnāt baseballāitās a waiting game.
Why the Cubs Win (-165, FanDuel): Hortonās 2.70 ERA is pedestrian, but itās way better than Pittsburghās entire lineup. The Cubsā bats? Theyāve averaged 4.2 runs in Hortonās last 5 starts. Meanwhile, the Piratesā hitters are so desperate for contact they might try bunting for a home run.
Player Props to Mock:
- Bryan Reynolds, Over 0.5 Doubles (-200): Reynolds has 11 doubles all season. Betting heāll get one tonight is like betting your Uncle Bob will finally clean his room.
- Tommy Pham, Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500): Phamās HR drought is longer than a Pirateās patience. Take the underāhard.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Over 1.5 Stolen Bases (+400): Heās fast, but even he canāt outrun the odds here.
Final Jeer:
This game will be a 2-1 Cubs win, with Skenes pitching into the 8th and the Piratesā offense collectively forgetting how to swing. Take the Under, avoid the āPirates +1.5ā spread like itās a bad Tinder date, and laugh all the way to the bank when Reynolds strikes out trying to bunt.
āItās not a game. Itās a math test, and the Pirates failed it in June.ā šā¾
Created: Sept. 17, 2025, 11:29 a.m. GMT