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Prop Bets: Chicago White Sox VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-07-20

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Pirates vs. White Sox: A Sluggers’ Nightmare (or Why This Game Might Sleepwalk to a 2-1 Score)

The Setup:
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-155) host the Chicago White Sox (+129) in a matchup that’s less “thrilling” and more “why are we still watching this?” Both teams are offensive relics: the Pirates lead MLB in fewest runs scored and fewest home runs (66 HRs, yikes!), while the White Sox own the worst team batting average (.221). It’s like a meet-cute for two teams that hate hitting.

The Moneyline:
- Pirates (-155): Implied probability of 61% to win. Bet $155 to win $100.
- White Sox (+129): Implied probability of 43.8%. Bet $100 to win $129.

Why the Pirates?
They’re the only team with a 50% win rate when favored by -155 or shorter. The White Sox? They’re 33.3% when +129 or longer. But let’s be honest—this is a game where the Pirates’ Oneil Cruz (16 HRs) and the White Sox’s Andrew Benintendi (11 HRs) might as well be playing chess with baseballs.

Prop Bets to Waste Your Money On:
1. Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Over 0.5 HR (-340) — He’s the team’s HR leader, so this is a sure thing. Unless he’s benched for sleeping.
2. Andrew Benintendi (White Sox): Over 1.5 Hits (-115) — He’s got 11 HRs, but hits? Let’s see him beat the odds.
3. Aaron Civale (White Sox SP): Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110) — Civale’s got the arm of a tired octopus.
4. Total Game Runs (9.0): Under -110 — With these lineups, 9 runs would require a mercy rule.

Pitcher Props:
- Andrew Heaney (Pirates): Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115) — He’s got the control of a caffeinated squirrel.
- Aaron Civale (White Sox): Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-110) — Civale’s ERA? Let’s just say it’s “optimistic.”

The Verdict:
This game is a situational comedy where the punchline is “Why are we still here?” The Pirates’ -155 line reflects their slight edge, but don’t be surprised if both teams combine for 4 runs and a rain delay. Bet on the Under (9.5 runs) and laugh all the way to the bank.

Final Score Prediction: 2-1 Pirates. Because even the moon’s gravitational pull is more exciting than this game. 🌕⚾

Created: July 20, 2025, 2:16 p.m. GMT