Prop Bets: Cincinnati Bengals VS Denver Broncos 2025-09-29

Broncos vs. Bengals: A Predictable Party for Denver?

The Denver Broncos (-7.5) are favored to stomp the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 4, per the odds, which imply an 83% chance of victory for Denver (based on decimal odds of 1.22). Meanwhile, Cincinnati’s implied probability of winning? A paltry 18-22% (odds of 4.4–4.8). If you’re betting on the Bengals, you’re essentially tossing a dart at a board labeled “Hope.”

The Spread: Denver’s -7.5 line is as steep as a rookie’s learning curve. The Broncos’ defense has allowed just 11 completions of 20+ yards this season, while Jake Browning’s last complete game was a 140-yard disaster. Translation: The Bengals’ offense is about as explosive as a wet sock.

Totals: The Over/Under is 43.5–44.5 points, with the Under getting slight love at DraftKings (1.87). Why? The Broncos’ defense is a leaky bucket, but Browning’s arm is a sieve. Expect a game where “points” are as rare as a Bengals’ win.

Player Props to Punt:
- Jake Browning, Under 219.5 Yards (-114): After a 140-yard, 3-sack performance last week, Browning’s arm is more “short-yardage specialist” than “Pro Bowl threat.” Bet the under—his legs might get more work than his passing.
- Tee Higgins, Under 51.5 Yards (-114): Higgins had 15 yards in Week 3. The Broncos have allowed zero 40+ yard completions this season. Higgins needs a slingshot, not a route tree.
- Courtland Sutton, Anytime TD (+130): Bo Nix’s favorite target (14.2 YPC, 2 TDs) is your guy. If Denver wants to cover, Sutton needs to outdo Higgins’ 15-yard highlight reel.

Final Verdict: Denver’s implied 83% win chance isn’t just a number—it’s a guarantee that oddsmakers think the Bengals’ offense runs on Miracle-Gro. Lay the points, fade the Over, and don’t even think about betting on Browning to throw for 220. Unless you want to lose money slowly, like a Bengals fan watching their team play.

Place your bets, but remember: this isn’t football. It’s a math test, and Denver just handed in an 83% exam. 🏈📉

Created: Sept. 29, 2025, 12:02 p.m. GMT